International News
Gold vulnerable to the Risk-On sentiment: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

- Following the U.S. and China’s agreement to significantly reduce tariffs, gold fell to its lowest level in almost a month, although it slightly recovered yesterday as a result of ongoing uncertainty surrounding the direction of trade talks.
- Because of the modest April CPI miss, the US dollar is under less pressure, and tariffs have less immediate effect. The April US inflation report was marginally weaker than what market participants had anticipated monthly.
- The World Gold Council reports that gold ETFS saw net inflows of 115 tons in April, the biggest monthly rise in more than three years and the fifth consecutive month. Nearly 65 tons of these inflows came mostly from China.
Technical Triggers
- Gold prices may drop to $3200 (~Rs 92000) if they remain below $3265 (~Rs 94000) this week. And we are expected to see Fundamental a $200 decline from those levels up to $3000 (~Rs 86000) if prices break and hold below $3200, which is the Double Top formation’s neckline support.
- Silver prices are expected to get momentum now, as the tariff war has de-escalated. We are likely to see prices touching $34(~Rs 99000) and $35(~Rs 102,0000) soon in the coming days.
Commodity | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
---|---|---|---|
Gold | International | $3200/oz | $3450/oz |
Indian | ₹92,000/10 gm | ₹97,500/10 gm | |
Silver | International | $32/oz | $34/oz |
Indian | ₹93,500/kg | ₹99,000/kg |

International News
Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts $5,000/oz for 2026

Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.
Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025. Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date. Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.
Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.
In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.
Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.
Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.
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