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Gold tug-of-war extends amid trump tariff threats :AUGMONT BULLION REPORT                   

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  • Gold prices are currently trapped around the $3270 to $3420 region as the current consolidation pattern continues into the twelfth week. But rebounding dollar, which is driving the lower price action, the possibility of increased trade tensions could provide support.
  • Japan has been notified in writing by US President Donald Trump that all Japanese imports into the US will be subject to a 25% duty starting on August 1.
  • The leaders of 12 other nations received similar letters, alerting them of the imposition of 25% to 40% tariffs beginning next month.
  • Trump’s announcements further damaged risk sentiment, which fueled a new surge in the price of gold, a classic safe-haven asset, as worries of a trade war were rekindled around the world by the repeated tariff threats.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold is expected to trade in the range of $3300 (~Rs 96000) and $3400 (~Rs 98500) this week.
  • Silver has given a breakout of its range, trading above $37 (~ Rs 108,000). Now next target is $38 (~Rs 111,000)

Support and Resistance

CommoditySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$3250/oz$3440/oz
Indian Gold₹95,000/10 gm₹98,500/10 gm

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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