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Gold surges on  U.S. govt shutdown fears, dollar weakness

Gold hits record high above $3,875/oz as futures surge to $3,887.40

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Gold is currently , shattering its all-time price records. The precious metal is proving its mettle, hitting an unprecedented peak of $3,875.32 per ounce before settling slightly to $3,860.13. December U.S. gold futures also followed suit, jumping 0.4% to trade at $3,887.40.

What’s fueling this spectacular climb? A potent cocktail of political jitters and economic anticipation.

  1. Safety First: The immediate spark was the official U.S. government shutdown. With deep political divides paralyzing Washington and thousands of federal jobs on the line, investors are flocking to gold as a traditional “safe-haven asset”—a reliable store of value when stability is in doubt. Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery, pointed squarely to the government standoff and general geopolitical uncertainty as major drivers.
  2. Dollar Weakness: Compounding the effect, the U.S. dollar index ($DXY) tumbled to its lowest level in over a week. A weaker dollar makes gold, which is priced in the greenback, cheaper and more attractive for international buyers, further boosting demand.
  3. Rate Cut Hopes: Beyond the politics, soft recent labour data has solidified expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon begin cutting interest rates. Lower rates generally diminish the appeal of interest-bearing assets, making non-yielding assets like gold shine brighter.

For those wondering if the rally has legs, the consensus is yes. Analysts remain decisively bullish on gold’s prospects. Frappell sees the upside targets pointing toward the $3,900 threshold and potentially soaring as high as $4,000 per ounce. The confluence of a weaker dollar, ongoing U.S. political instability, and global uncertainty provides a strong foundation for gold to maintain its record-breaking momentum.

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International News

AGTA appeals US Government to Scrap 10% Import Tariff on Gemstones

Trade body seeks exemption for coloured gemstones under new temporary tariff regime, with potential implications for diamonds.

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The American Gem Trade Association (AGTA) has formally appealed to the US government to remove the newly imposed 10% global import tariff on gemstones, and potentially diamonds, warning of its impact on the trade.

The tariff was announced on February 20 after the US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs issued under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In response, the administration introduced a temporary 10% import surcharge under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. The measure will remain in effect for 150 days unless Congress votes to extend it, though further tariff mechanisms have not been ruled out.

AGTA has submitted a formal request to the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), urging that precious and semiprecious coloured gemstones be added to the exception list under Annex I or Annex II. The association argued that these stones are not mined domestically in the US and therefore should qualify for exemption.

Previously, AGTA’s lobbying efforts contributed to diamonds and gemstones being included in Annex III — a list of products eligible for potential exemption from duties for “aligned” countries. This had placed Indian diamonds and gemstones on track for relief following a prospective US-India trade agreement. However, it remains unclear whether Annex III provisions apply under the new tariff framework that recently took effect.

If the across-the-board exemption request is denied, AGTA has asked the USTR to confirm whether Annex III remains a viable pathway for country-specific tariff relief on coloured gemstones.

While the current petition focuses on coloured gemstones, AGTA noted that trade experts believe any exemption granted in this category could effectively extend to diamonds, as seen in past trade agreements such as the US–European Union deal.

“We will continue to work tirelessly toward eliminating tariffs on gemstone imports into the US. We remain fully committed to this effort — giving up is not an option,” said AGTA President Bruce Bridges and CEO John Ford.

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