International News
Gold surges on U.S. govt shutdown fears, dollar weakness
Gold hits record high above $3,875/oz as futures surge to $3,887.40
Gold is currently , shattering its all-time price records. The precious metal is proving its mettle, hitting an unprecedented peak of $3,875.32 per ounce before settling slightly to $3,860.13. December U.S. gold futures also followed suit, jumping 0.4% to trade at $3,887.40.
What’s fueling this spectacular climb? A potent cocktail of political jitters and economic anticipation.
- Safety First: The immediate spark was the official U.S. government shutdown. With deep political divides paralyzing Washington and thousands of federal jobs on the line, investors are flocking to gold as a traditional “safe-haven asset”—a reliable store of value when stability is in doubt. Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery, pointed squarely to the government standoff and general geopolitical uncertainty as major drivers.
- Dollar Weakness: Compounding the effect, the U.S. dollar index ($DXY) tumbled to its lowest level in over a week. A weaker dollar makes gold, which is priced in the greenback, cheaper and more attractive for international buyers, further boosting demand.
- Rate Cut Hopes: Beyond the politics, soft recent labour data has solidified expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon begin cutting interest rates. Lower rates generally diminish the appeal of interest-bearing assets, making non-yielding assets like gold shine brighter.
For those wondering if the rally has legs, the consensus is yes. Analysts remain decisively bullish on gold’s prospects. Frappell sees the upside targets pointing toward the $3,900 threshold and potentially soaring as high as $4,000 per ounce. The confluence of a weaker dollar, ongoing U.S. political instability, and global uncertainty provides a strong foundation for gold to maintain its record-breaking momentum.
International News
Precious metals rebound on safe-haven demand AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold and silver rebounded due to safe-haven demand, while investors awaited the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy meeting and the U.S. jobs report, which could provide additional insight into the central bank’s interest rate trajectory.
- Investors are currently waiting for the September non-farm payrolls report, which will be issued on Thursday after being postponed because of the recent U.S. government shutdown, and the minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting, which are scheduled to be released later in the day.
- Expectations for additional rate reduction from the Federal Reserve were also bolstered by signs of a worsening US job market. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that companies are talking more about layoffs as they get ready for softer demand and possible productivity improvements from artificial intelligence.
- The likelihood of a 25 bps cut in December is now just about 47% priced into the markets, compared to over 90% a month ago.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has broken an important support of $4050; the next target support is $3950 (~Rs 120,000).
- Silver has broken the important support of $50, the next target support level is around $48.5(~Rs 150,000) and $47(~Rs 145,000).
Support and Resistance
| Category | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $3950/oz | $4050/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹120,000/10 gm | ₹122,000/10 gm |
| International Silver | $52/oz | $50.5/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹150,000/kg | ₹153,500/kg |
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