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Gold surges on  U.S. govt shutdown fears, dollar weakness

Gold hits record high above $3,875/oz as futures surge to $3,887.40

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Gold is currently , shattering its all-time price records. The precious metal is proving its mettle, hitting an unprecedented peak of $3,875.32 per ounce before settling slightly to $3,860.13. December U.S. gold futures also followed suit, jumping 0.4% to trade at $3,887.40.

What’s fueling this spectacular climb? A potent cocktail of political jitters and economic anticipation.

  1. Safety First: The immediate spark was the official U.S. government shutdown. With deep political divides paralyzing Washington and thousands of federal jobs on the line, investors are flocking to gold as a traditional “safe-haven asset”—a reliable store of value when stability is in doubt. Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery, pointed squarely to the government standoff and general geopolitical uncertainty as major drivers.
  2. Dollar Weakness: Compounding the effect, the U.S. dollar index ($DXY) tumbled to its lowest level in over a week. A weaker dollar makes gold, which is priced in the greenback, cheaper and more attractive for international buyers, further boosting demand.
  3. Rate Cut Hopes: Beyond the politics, soft recent labour data has solidified expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon begin cutting interest rates. Lower rates generally diminish the appeal of interest-bearing assets, making non-yielding assets like gold shine brighter.

For those wondering if the rally has legs, the consensus is yes. Analysts remain decisively bullish on gold’s prospects. Frappell sees the upside targets pointing toward the $3,900 threshold and potentially soaring as high as $4,000 per ounce. The confluence of a weaker dollar, ongoing U.S. political instability, and global uncertainty provides a strong foundation for gold to maintain its record-breaking momentum.

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International News

Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

  • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
  • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
  • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
  • Energy Sector Headwinds

Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

  • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

  • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
  • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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