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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

Massive 11,000-Carat Ruby Uncovered In Myanmar

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A massive 11,000-carat rough ruby has been recovered in the famed gem-rich region of Mogok, Myanmar, according to recent state media reports.

Weighing in at 2.2 kg (4 lbs 14 oz), the newly discovered stone is roughly half the size of the legendary 21,450-carat rough gem found in the same region back in 1996. However, experts and state officials report that this new find boasts vastly superior color, luster, and transparency.

Mogok rubies, sourced from the “Valley of Rubies” in Myanmar (Burma), are legendary for their unrivaled vivid color and supreme clarity. They are famous worldwide for their “pigeon blood” red hue, which is caused by trace elements and microscopic silk particles that scatter light and give the gem a glowing, velvety softness. 

Key Details of the Discovery:

  • Physical Properties: The giant gem exhibits a striking purplish-red color with yellowish undertones, excellent vitreous luster, and moderate transparency. It remains entirely in its natural, untreated state.
  • Geopolitical Context: Myanmar supplies roughly 90% of the world’s rubies. However, the nation has been embroiled in a devastating civil war since a 2021 military coup—a conflict that has claimed approximately 90,000 lives and displaced over 3.5 million people.
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