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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

DDE, LDB Sign MoU

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Dubai Diamond Exchange (DDE) and the London Diamond Bourse (LDB) have signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) aimed at strengthening cooperation between the two diamond trading centres, expanding business opportunities for members, and promoting responsible growth across the global diamond and gemstone trade. The agreement was announced on 8 July 2026.

The MoU establishes a framework for collaboration in responsible trading, commercial development, knowledge sharing, and closer engagement between members of the two bourses. It also seeks to encourage dialogue on issues affecting the international diamond industry as trading centres adapt to an increasingly interconnected global marketplace.

The agreement was signed by Ahmed Bin Sulayem, Chairman of the Dubai Diamond Exchange, and Charlotte Rose, President of the London Diamond Bourse. It marks the first formal international partnership under Rose’s presidency, which began in June.

Ahmed Bin Sulayem, Chairman, Dubai Diamond Exchange, said:

“The Dubai Diamond Exchange was built on the belief that connecting markets creates opportunity. This partnership with the London Diamond Bourse reflects that philosophy, bringing together two major diamond trading centres to strengthen collaboration and expand opportunities for our respective members. The future of our industry will not be built by individual markets acting alone. By working more closely together, we can establish a stronger network of trusted trading centres, sharing expertise, upholding recognised standards, and reinforcing confidence and growth across the global diamond trade.”

ahmed bin sulayem

Charlotte Rose, President, London Diamond Bourse, noted:

“There is no better partner for the London Diamond Bourse to begin this new chapter with than the Dubai Diamond Exchange. As a fellow member of the World Federation of Diamond Bourses, the DDE shares our commitment to trusted, well-governed trading, and this agreement opens up real opportunities for members on both sides. I’m looking forward to seeing where this partnership takes us.”

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