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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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Diamond Retailers Glimmer as Valentine’s Day anchors peak sales season

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 Valentine’s Day remains a vital cornerstone for the natural diamond industry, accounting for approximately 7% of annual demand in the U.S.. According to the Natural Diamond Trends: 2025 Overview Report, produced in partnership with Tenoris, the holiday serves as the final act in a high-stakes retail trilogy for specialty jewelers.

The data, which tracked over four million transactions across 2,500 retailers, identifies Valentine’s Day alongside the year-end holiday season (30%) and Mother’s Day (9%) as the three “sales anchors” that define the fiscal year. Collectively, these three periods represent 46% of all yearly diamond purchases.

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