International News
Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears
Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.
Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.
Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.
International News
De Beers Narrowed Losses In H1 2026 Despite A Sharp Decline In Rough Diamond Prices
The decline reflected significantly lower realised rough diamond prices, although underlying operating performance improved. higher production, increased sales volumes and aggressive cost-cutting helped offset weaker pricing.
De Beers narrowed its losses in the first half of 2026 despite a sharp decline in rough diamond prices, as higher production, increased sales volumes and aggressive cost-cutting helped offset weaker pricing.
Revenue fell 19% to US$1.58 billion in the six months that ended 30 June 2026, from US$1.95 billion a year earlier. The decline reflected significantly lower realised rough diamond prices, although underlying operating performance improved.
Underlying EBITDA loss narrowed to US$113 million from US$189 million in the first half of 2025, while the underlying EBIT loss improved to US$209 million, compared with US$303 million a year earlier. EBITDA margin improved to -7% from -10%.
The average realised rough diamond price fell 32% to US$105 per carat, driven by a weaker product mix and a 16% decline in the average rough price index following inventory rebalancing measures introduced during 2025.
However, De Beers increased production by 46% to 14.9 million carats, while sales volumes rose 13% to 12.4 million carats, reflecting improved availability and stronger trading activity than in the comparable period. Unit costs declined 26% to US$64 per carat, helping cushion the impact of lower prices. Capital expenditure was reduced by a third to US$115 million.
During the second quarter, De Beers sold 6 million carats of rough diamonds, generating US$665 million in consolidated revenue, compared with US$1.2 billion from 6.8 million carats in the same period last year, underscoring the continued pressure on prices despite relatively stable demand.
The company maintained its 2026 production guidance at 21-26 million carats, although planned maintenance at the Orapa and Jwaneng mines and the proposed production pause at the Venetia mine in South Africa are expected to reduce output in the second half. Unit cost guidance remains unchanged at around US$80 per carat.
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