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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

De Beers Assumes 100% Control Of Gahcho Kué Diamond Mine

A Global Slump In Diamond Demand Hit The Company Hard. Its Revenue Dropped 42% In 2025, and Average Diamond Prices Plummete

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De Beers is taking 100% control of the Gahcho Kué diamond mine in Canada’s Northwest Territories. Its partner, Mountain Province Diamonds, was facing major financial trouble and agreed to hand over its 49% share in exchange for being cleared of all its debts to De Beers.

​Here is why Mountain Province ran into trouble:

​Falling Diamond Prices: A global slump in diamond demand hit the company hard. Its revenue dropped 42% in 2025, and average diamond prices plummeted—falling to just $36 per carat in the second quarter.

​Massive Debt: Mountain Province was struggling to pay back tens of millions of dollars in short-term loans. Ratings agency S&P warning that the company was at high risk of defaulting on its debts.

​Cost-Cutting and Emergency Funds: To stay afloat, the company paused expansion plans at the mine, delayed payments into environmental cleanup funds, and sold future diamond sales rights to major investor Dermot Desmond (an Irish billionaire) for quick cash.

​Despite selling twice as many diamonds recently, prices were too low to cover their debts.

CEO Jonathan Comerford explained that trade tariffs and Middle East conflicts crushed diamond prices, leaving handing over their share of the mine as the best option to cancel liabilities and secure local jobs.

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