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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

GJEPC Participates in High-Level Paris Roundtable on Kimberley Process Relevance

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A closed-door outreach session in Paris brought senior Kimberley Process (KP) leadership into direct dialogue with leading luxury jewellery maisons, positioning the certification system at the centre of brand risk, sourcing integrity and consumer trust.

Hosted by UFBJOP, the invitation-only discussion, held under Chatham House Rule, clarified how the KP works, why it remains central to the natural diamond value chain, and how it supports brand credibility in a market shaped by rising transparency expectations.

The panel featured Feriel Zerouki, President, World Diamond Council (WDC); Stéphane Fischler, former President, WDC; Anoop Mehta, Convenor – Diamond Panel, GJEPC; Ahmed Bin Sulayem, CEO, DMCC & former KP Chair; and Sabyasachi Ray, Executive Director, GJEPC & Deputy Advisor to KP Chair, who shared perspectives spanning industry, governance and trade.

The discussion opened with an overview of the KP’s origins and mechanics, followed by India’s 2026 Chairmanship priorities built around the “3Cs” – Credibility, Compliance and Confidence. The framework focuses on strengthening certification integrity, addressing financial risks like crypto-linked transactions, and improving consumer-facing communication.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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