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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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MGA Strengthens Regional Gold Industry Cooperation Through Six MoUs At MGF 2026

MoUs With Industry Bodies From India, UAE, Vietnam, Cambodia, Uzbekistan and Laos Reinforce Regional Connectivity, Collaboration and Malaysia’s Ambition As A Gold and Jewellery Hub.

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The Malaysia Gold Association (MGA) signed Regional Industry Memorandum of Understanding (MoUs) with six international industry associations during the Malaysia Gold Festival (MGF) 2026, held from 18–20 September at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre.

The agreements were signed with the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA) Ltd. , Dubai Business Group for Bullion & Gold Refinery, Vietnam Gold Traders Association (VGTA), Cambodian Jewelers Federation (CJF), Uzbekistan Jewelry Industry Association (UJIA) and Gold Jewelry Gem Association Laos (GJGAL).

The initiative aims to strengthen regional partnerships, industry collaboration and connectivity across the international gold and jewellery ecosystem. The MoUs add an important regional dimension to MGF 2026, which brought together approximately 70 local and international exhibitors spanning the gold and jewellery value chain.

MGF 2026 also featured business networking, industry forums, educational programmes and knowledge exchange, with MGA positioning the festival as part of its broader ambition to establish Malaysia as a regional gold trading and jewellery hub.

During the festival, Malaysia’s Ministry of Tourism, Arts and Culture (MOTAC) also explored collaboration with MGA on Malaysia-themed gold products, including a proposed gold card highlighting Malaysian tourism destinations.

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