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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

HQLA.Gold -A New Website From The World Gold Council and The London Bullion Market Association

A Definitive Guide To Gold’s Role In Global Banking Stability

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High‑Quality Liquid Assets (HQLAs) sit at the core of global banking regulation, designed to ensure financial institutions can withstand periods of market disruption. Traditionally, this category has been dominated by cash and government bonds. But growing market transparency and new data now allow a fresh examination of gold’s liquidity characteristics.

Drawing on Basel III criteria, robust market data, and recent academic analysis, HQLA.gold is a go-to source to explore how gold measures up against the defining features of HQLAs — including low risk, ease of valuation, market depth, resilience under stress, and its role as a flight‑to‑quality asset.

Developed jointly by the World Gold Council (WGC) and the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), the site brings together regulatory context, market evidence, and clear explanations to help investors, policymakers, and market participants better understand gold’s role within today’s financial system.

WGC and LBMA are committed to working together for the advancement of gold’s reclassification as a High-Quality Liquid Asset.

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