International News
Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears
Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.
Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.
Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.
International News
Safe-Haven Rebound Amid Geopolitical Easing and Macro Uncertainty Augmont Bullion Report
Gold Has Bounced From The $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) Support Zone and Is Now Targeting Resistance At $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000)
- Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and silver have recovered from key support levels as Middle East de-escalation signals pressured oil prices, reducing inflation concerns. The dollar weakened against major currencies after the US indicated progress toward an Iran deal, while the yen surged to a two-month high amid intervention expectations.
- Geopolitical Developments – President Trump announced a temporary pause in “Project Freedom” — the US military’s commercial shipping escort operation through the Strait of Hormuz — to allow time for a potential Iran agreement. Trump confirmed via Truth Social that negotiations have advanced significantly toward a comprehensive deal.
- Macro-economic Signals – Market attention now shifts to the upcoming non-farm payrolls data, which will indicate whether economic resilience justifies holding Fed policy steady or whether labour market softening strengthens the case for rate cuts.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has bounced from the $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) support zone and is now targeting resistance at $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000).
- Silver has recovered from the $73 (~Rs. 2,43,000) support level and is expected to advance toward resistance at $77–78 (~Rs. 2,54,000–2,56,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4500/oz : $4850/oz : Rs 148,000/10 gm : Rs 155,000/10 gm |
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