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Gold sees significant decline on global trade tensions, recession fears

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Spot gold experienced a significant decline on Monday, April 7, 2025, dropping 0.3% to $3,027.90 per ounce after hitting a 3.5-week low earlier in the session. This unusual behavior for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset, prompted market speculation that investors are selling bullion to realize profits or cover margin calls on other investments. The sell-off is attributed to escalating global trade tensions and the resulting fears of a potential global recession.

Adding to the bearish sentiment, Morningstar’s John Mills foresees gold prices plummeting to $1,820 per ounce—a 38% decline—driven by easing inflation and potential trade normalization. Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri attributes recent volatility to factors like a weak US jobs report and dovish Fed signals, projecting key trading ranges for gold.  

Gold prices face a potential 38% decline, according to Morningstar’s John Mills, who forecasts a drop to $1,820 per ounce due to shifting market dynamics. Meanwhile, Mehta Equities’ Rahul Kalantri warns of persistent extreme volatility, outlining specific support and resistance levels in both USD and INR, and attributing the recent swings to various economic indicators.  

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International News

Paraiba Tourmalines Deposit Discovered In Ethiopia

SSEF Said Trace-Element Data From The Suspected Ethiopian Material Overlaps Considerably With Stones From Established Localities, Particularly Brazil

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The Swiss Gemmological Institute (SSEF) has received credible reports indicating the discovery of a new deposit of copper-bearing tourmalines, known in the trade as Paraíba tourmalines, in Ethiopia.

The development coincides with the submission of several stones whose geographic origin proved difficult to determine using existing methods. Preliminary analyses suggest some may originate from Ethiopia.

Since their discovery in Brazil in the late 1980s, Paraíba tourmalines have been prized for their vivid “neon” blue and bluish-green colours caused by copper within their crystal structure. Additional deposits were later found in Nigeria and Mozambique, with the latter becoming a major source.

SSEF said trace-element data from the suspected Ethiopian material overlaps considerably with stones from established localities, particularly Brazil, making origin determination challenging. The institute is conducting further research to characterise the new material and refine methods for distinguishing it from copper-bearing tourmalines from other sources.

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