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Gold prices will increase during the festive season driven by  inflation, currency swings, interest rate, geopolitics

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Gold’s glitters brighter this festive season—but the yellow metal isn’t coming cheap. It’s not just the Diwali-Dhanteras rush. Gold dances to the tune of bigger forces—inflation, currency swings, interest rate outlooks, and even global geopolitics.

The prices post Dussehra at various corporate retail chains  were as follows:As of October 4, 2025, Tanishq  quoted 22K gold at Rs.10,985 per gram, while Malabar Gold & Diamonds, Joyalukkas, and Kalyan Jewellers held  steady at Rs.10,945 per gram. Remember, that’s before GST and making charges kick in, and rates may shuffle through the day depending on city-specific factors.

In value terms, sales registered a growth of approximately 30–35%, primarily driven by elevated bullion prices. With demand expected to strengthen further during the festive season, buyers are unlikely to secure gold at lower rates ahead of key occasions such as Dhanteras and Diwali. Despite a moderation in overall volumes, advance bookings for Dhanteras, Diwali, and the upcoming wedding season indicate that customers anticipate sustained price levels and are securing purchases accordingly.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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