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Gold prices will increase during the festive season driven by  inflation, currency swings, interest rate, geopolitics

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Gold’s glitters brighter this festive season—but the yellow metal isn’t coming cheap. It’s not just the Diwali-Dhanteras rush. Gold dances to the tune of bigger forces—inflation, currency swings, interest rate outlooks, and even global geopolitics.

The prices post Dussehra at various corporate retail chains  were as follows:As of October 4, 2025, Tanishq  quoted 22K gold at Rs.10,985 per gram, while Malabar Gold & Diamonds, Joyalukkas, and Kalyan Jewellers held  steady at Rs.10,945 per gram. Remember, that’s before GST and making charges kick in, and rates may shuffle through the day depending on city-specific factors.

In value terms, sales registered a growth of approximately 30–35%, primarily driven by elevated bullion prices. With demand expected to strengthen further during the festive season, buyers are unlikely to secure gold at lower rates ahead of key occasions such as Dhanteras and Diwali. Despite a moderation in overall volumes, advance bookings for Dhanteras, Diwali, and the upcoming wedding season indicate that customers anticipate sustained price levels and are securing purchases accordingly.

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National News

Gold Exchange Schemes See Surge In Demand

Nearly 25% Of All Jewelry Buyers Now Opt For Exchange Programs Instead Of Outright Cash Purchases

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In 2026, India’s retail gold sector is witnessing a significant paradigm shift. Driven by a combination of macroeconomic factors and strategic government appeals, gold exchange schemes have emerged as a dominant trend. Nearly 25% of all jewelry buyers now opt for exchange programs instead of outright cash purchases, marking a substantial increase from previous years.

Key Drivers of the Exchange Trend

1. Record-High Gold Prices

The primary economic catalyst for this shift is the unprecedented surge in gold prices. As fresh gold becomes increasingly expensive, consumers are unlocking the value stored in their existing assets rather than stretching their liquid capital to make new purchases.

2. Government Advocacy and Import Reduction

The trend is heavily backed by national policy interests. Prime Minister Narendra Modi has actively appealed to the public to utilize old jewelry for new purchases rather than buying fresh gold. The strategic goal behind this initiative is to curb India’s massive gold imports, thereby strengthening the current account deficit and stabilizing the national economy.

3. Aggressive Jeweler Incentives

Jewelers have rapidly adapted to consumer demand and government alignment by lowering the barriers to entry for exchanges.

 Two major policy shifts are driving this retail adoption:

  • Zero-Deduction Exchange Schemes: Traditional penalties and melting losses that previously deterred consumers from exchanging gold are being eliminated.
  • Relaxed Documentation & Purity Standards: Retailers are now accepting old gold sourced from any jeweler starting at a purity level as low as 9KT, even without original purchase bills.

Market Implications

The 25% Threshold: The fact that a quarter of all jewelry buyers are now choosing exchange programs signifies that gold recycling is no longer a niche or distress-driven activity; it has entered the mainstream consumer behavior matrix.

  • For Consumers: This shift provides a highly liquid, cost-effective way to upgrade designs and maintain asset value without facing heavy financial hits or bureaucratic hurdles (like tracking down decades-old receipts).
  • For the Economy: By circulating existing domestic gold back into the supply chain, India reduces its reliance on international bullion markets, directly answering the government’s call for macroeconomic resilience.
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