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Gold Prices Could Surge by 16% in Next 18 Months, Reaching $3,500 per Ounce: BofA

BofA Global Research Report Highlights Key Factors Driving Potential Price Surge, Including Increased Investment Demand and Central Bank Purchases

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Gold prices could rise by over 16% in the next 18 months, potentially reaching $3,500 per ounce, according to a report from BofA Global Research. The report indicates that a 10% increase in non-commercial purchases could push prices to new heights. Even a modest 1% increase in investment demand could elevate gold prices to an average of $3,000 per ounce in 2025.

Several factors could contribute to this surge, including a rise in investment demand, particularly from China’s insurance industry, which can allocate up to 1% of its assets in gold. This move could account for nearly 6% of the total annual gold market. Additionally, central banks around the world, which currently hold about 10% of their reserves in gold, may increase their holdings to over 30% to enhance the efficiency of their portfolios. Such a shift could significantly increase global gold demand.

The report also points to the growing role of retail investors, with assets in physically backed gold ETFs rising by 4% year-on-year across key global markets, including the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Economic uncertainties and market volatility are driving more individual investors to seek exposure to gold.

Other factors, such as uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and concerns over America’s fiscal and trade deficits, could weaken the U.S. dollar, further propelling gold prices in the near term. As investment demand continues to rise, the BofA report suggests that gold prices may remain strong in the coming months.

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DiamondBuzz

Diamond Slump forces Debswana to diversify into copper, platinum and solar

Diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios

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Debswana Diamond Company, the 50–50 joint venture between the Botswana government and De Beers, is moving to diversify into copper, platinum and renewable energy as the prolonged downturn in natural diamond demand pressures earnings and forces the industry to rethink its growth strategy.

The company’s board has approved plans to invest in a portfolio of non-diamond projects after revenue fell 46% in 2024, the latest available financial year, highlighting the scale of the downturn in the global diamond market.

The move signals a strategic shift toward commodities with stronger long-term demand fundamentals, particularly copper, which is central to global electrification and energy-transition infrastructure.

Debswana’s diversification reflects a broader industry pivot as diamond producers confront weak consumer demand, rising competition from lab-grown stones and elevated inventories across the supply chain.

The shift is also visible among smaller exploration companies. Botswana Diamonds recently rebranded as Botswana Minerals, signalling its own strategic focus on copper exploration rather than diamonds.

Together, these moves underscore a growing consensus across the sector: the era of diamond-centric mining models is giving way to broader resource portfolios anchored in energy-transition metals.

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