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Gold Prices Could Surge by 16% in Next 18 Months, Reaching $3,500 per Ounce: BofA

BofA Global Research Report Highlights Key Factors Driving Potential Price Surge, Including Increased Investment Demand and Central Bank Purchases

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Gold prices could rise by over 16% in the next 18 months, potentially reaching $3,500 per ounce, according to a report from BofA Global Research. The report indicates that a 10% increase in non-commercial purchases could push prices to new heights. Even a modest 1% increase in investment demand could elevate gold prices to an average of $3,000 per ounce in 2025.

Several factors could contribute to this surge, including a rise in investment demand, particularly from China’s insurance industry, which can allocate up to 1% of its assets in gold. This move could account for nearly 6% of the total annual gold market. Additionally, central banks around the world, which currently hold about 10% of their reserves in gold, may increase their holdings to over 30% to enhance the efficiency of their portfolios. Such a shift could significantly increase global gold demand.

The report also points to the growing role of retail investors, with assets in physically backed gold ETFs rising by 4% year-on-year across key global markets, including the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Economic uncertainties and market volatility are driving more individual investors to seek exposure to gold.

Other factors, such as uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and concerns over America’s fiscal and trade deficits, could weaken the U.S. dollar, further propelling gold prices in the near term. As investment demand continues to rise, the BofA report suggests that gold prices may remain strong in the coming months.

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International News

Indian Jewellery Exporters Breathe Easy temporarily as US Court Blocks Tariff Rise

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In a significant development for Indian gem and jewellery exporters, a US Federal court has temporarily halted President Donald Trump’s proposed ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs, which were set to substantially increase duties on imported goods, including jewellery. The ruling has been welcomed by the industry, which had been preparing for tariff increases from 6% to as high as 26%.

The Court of International Trade in Manhattan deemed the executive orders issued on April 2 as “unlawful.” These orders aimed to implement a 10% baseline tariff on most US imports, with even steeper rates for countries with substantial trade surpluses — including China, the European Union, and initially, India. The 26% tariff targeting Indian gem and jewellery exports was scheduled to take effect on April 9 but had been postponed to July 9 due to ongoing legal challenges.

According to a newspaper report, the proposed tariff hike would have had a severe financial impact on exporters. Jewellery manufacturers operating in SEEPZ, which account for 64% of India’s $3.5 billion in annual jewellery shipments to the US, would have seen upfront duties per million-dollar consignment jump from $60,000 to $320,000. This would have further strained their cash flows at a time when global demand remains weak.

While the court’s decision does not address all of the industry’s challenges, it provides crucial temporary relief and highlights the need for consistent trade policies to support India’s standing in the global gem and jewellery market.

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International News

Ruling court nullifies Trump tariffs – AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Gold stabilizes in a range as a court decision overturns Trump’s tariffs, increasing risk appetite and depressing the greenback. After the U.S. Court of International Trade determined on Wednesday that Trump had overreached himself by using emergency powers to impose high tariffs on the majority of the nation’s trading partners, gold prices rose.
  • On Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released its initial update on the country’s first-quarter economic growth. According to the agency, the US GDP decreased by 0.2% over that time, which was less than the 0.4% decline that was anticipated and less than the 0.3% decline that the bureau had initially projected.
  • While acknowledging certain stagflation concerns, policymakers pointed out that the Committee may have to make tough trade-offs if inflation turns out to be more persistent and growth and employment prospects deteriorate.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3270 (~Rs 95000) and $3370 (~Rs 96400) in the near term. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 2-3% movement.
  • Silver prices are expected to trade in the range of $32.5(~Rs 96000) and $34(~Rs 99000) in the near term.

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International News

Swarovski Names Kolja Kiofsky as Chief Commercial Officer, Effective January 2026

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Swarovski has announced the promotion of Kolja Kiofsky to Chief Commercial Officer, effective January 2026. Currently serving as General Manager of North America, Kiofsky will take over from Michele Molon, who is set to depart in July 2025 for a new opportunity.

In his new role, Kiofsky will lead Swarovski’s global commercial operations, overseeing omni-channel strategy, global sales, commercial architecture, and real estate. He will relocate from New York to the company’s corporate headquarters in Männedorf, Switzerland, and report directly to CEO Alexis Nasard.

Kolja Kiofsky’s promotion to chief commercial officer marks an exciting new chapter for Swarovski. Kolja’s leadership and strategic vision have been pivotal in driving growth and transformation in North America,” said Nasard.

“At the same time, Swarovski extends its heartfelt gratitude to Michele Molon for his outstanding contributions and dedication to our company and brand. Michele leaves with a strong business and organizational legacy.”

Until Kiofsky assumes the role in January, Ilse Roeffen, Head of Emerging Markets and Businesses, will serve as interim Chief Commercial Officer.

Reacting to the announcement, Kiofsky said, “I’m incredibly honored and excited to step into the role of chief commercial officer after 15 amazing years with Swarovski. This company has been a huge part of my professional journey, and I’m proud to have the opportunity to contribute to its legacy of innovation, craftsmanship and excellence. I want to extend my sincere gratitude to Michele Molon who has been not only a brilliant leader but also a true partner and mentor throughout the years. I look forward to building on the strong foundation he laid and driving our commercial strategy into its next phase.”

The promotion comes as Swarovski reported a 6% increase in revenue in 2024, reaching €1.906 billion—signaling strong momentum for the heritage crystal brand.

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