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Gold Prices Could Surge by 16% in Next 18 Months, Reaching $3,500 per Ounce: BofA

BofA Global Research Report Highlights Key Factors Driving Potential Price Surge, Including Increased Investment Demand and Central Bank Purchases

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Gold prices could rise by over 16% in the next 18 months, potentially reaching $3,500 per ounce, according to a report from BofA Global Research. The report indicates that a 10% increase in non-commercial purchases could push prices to new heights. Even a modest 1% increase in investment demand could elevate gold prices to an average of $3,000 per ounce in 2025.

Several factors could contribute to this surge, including a rise in investment demand, particularly from China’s insurance industry, which can allocate up to 1% of its assets in gold. This move could account for nearly 6% of the total annual gold market. Additionally, central banks around the world, which currently hold about 10% of their reserves in gold, may increase their holdings to over 30% to enhance the efficiency of their portfolios. Such a shift could significantly increase global gold demand.

The report also points to the growing role of retail investors, with assets in physically backed gold ETFs rising by 4% year-on-year across key global markets, including the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Economic uncertainties and market volatility are driving more individual investors to seek exposure to gold.

Other factors, such as uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and concerns over America’s fiscal and trade deficits, could weaken the U.S. dollar, further propelling gold prices in the near term. As investment demand continues to rise, the BofA report suggests that gold prices may remain strong in the coming months.

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US Holiday Shopping Expected To Top $1 Trillion For The First Time: NRF

While Overall Buying Power Remains High, Ongoing Inflation and Rising Household Costs Mean Some Families Will Have To Watch Their Spending More Carefully Than Others

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The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts Americans will spend $1.01 trillion on holiday shopping in November and December. That is a 4.2% jump from $972 billion last year.

NRF said its forecast was based on economic modeling that incorporates consumer spending, employment, wages and ​historical retail sales data. It excludes automobile, gasoline and ​restaurant sales

​Extra Hiring: To handle the surge in shoppers, stores plan to hire 325,000 to 375,000 temporary holiday workers.

​Mixed Budget Impact: Higher gas prices and inflation could still strain some family budgets, affecting low- and high-income shoppers differently.

​Retailers expect a strong shopping season because people continue to make holiday spending a priority.

Store owners are ready to attract shoppers by offering competitive prices, deals, and choices for every budget.

While overall buying power remains high, ongoing inflation and rising household costs mean some families will have to watch their spending more carefully than others.

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