International News
A hike in US tariffs could adversely impact India’s GJ sector
US President Donald Trump plans to implement reciprocal tariffs on all countries, countering previous speculation of targeting only 10 to 15 nations. These tariffs aim to rebalance trade and support US manufacturing, although specifics on affected countries and tariff calculations remain unclear.US President Donald Trump announced that he plans to begin his reciprocal tariff strategy with “all countries,” dismissing speculation that the initial tariffs, set to be unveiled on April 2, would target only 10 to 15 nations.
He has pledged to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that levy fees on U.S. exports, aiming to match their duties. In February, Trump signed a memorandum instructing U.S. trade officials to craft customised countermeasures for each targeted country.
A hike in US tariffs that could adversely affect Indias already-struggling diamond and jewellery sectors. India’s exports of gems and jewelry particularly studded gold jewelry and cut and polished diamonds will be largely impacted. A sudden tariff hike could severely impact exports, putting thousands of livelihoods at risk.
In 2024, India’s key exports to the US included precious and semi-precious stones (USD 5.3 billion), gold and other precious metal jewellery (USD 3.2 billion).India’s imports from the US included cut and polished diamonds (USD 2.6 billion), and gold (USD 1.3 billion).
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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