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Gold discounts in India widened this week to their highest point in nearly eight months

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Gold discounts in India widened this week to their highest point in nearly eight months, as a surge in prices to a record high dampened demand, while customers in other key hubs also remained on the sidelines. Indian dealers this week offered a discount of up to $39 an ounce over official domestic prices, including 6 per cent import and 3 per cent sales levies, up from a discount of $10 to $21 last week.

Indian dealers this week offered a discount of up to $39 an ounce over official domestic prices, including 6% import and 3% sales levies, up from a discount of $10 to $21 last week.

“Jewellers are not keen on building high-cost inventory at the end of the financial year, as they are busy closing accounts,” said a Mumbai-based dealer with a bullion-importing bank. India’s financial year runs from April until March 31.

India’s gold imports are set to tumble 85% in February from year-ago levels, reaching their lowest levels in 20 years, as demand is dampened by record-high bullion prices.

In China, the world’s largest consumer, gold traded at a discount of $1 to an $18 premium over spot prices. Meanwhile, dealers in Hong Kong charged premiums ranging from par to $2 per ounce.In Japan, bullion was sold between a discount of $3 and a premium of $0.5, a trader said. In Singapore, gold traded between a $0.50 discount and a $3 premium

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Domestic Gold Futures Decline On Weak Spot Demand and A Stronger US Dollar

International bullion remains on track for a positive monthly close.Geopolitical tensions, safe-haven interest, and US interest-rate expectations continue to floor global prices.

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Domestic gold futures dipped to Rs. 1,44,022 per 10g under pressure from weak spot demand and a stronger US dollar. In contrast, physical spot gold in Delhi’s retail market edged up by Rs. 300 to reach Rs. 1,48,300 per 10g, bolstered by fresh buying from retailers and jewellers. Meanwhile, domestic silver (inclusive of taxes) held firm and unchanged at Rs. 2,24,700 per kg, reflecting range-bound trading amid mixed market cues.

Domestic Strength vs. Futures Pressure

  • Spot Demand Near Highs: Domestic physical gold hovered near record levels, getting a boost from fresh retail purchases and jeweller demand in Delhi.
  • Futures Soften: MCX/Domestic futures experienced downward pressure driven by a stronger US dollar and localized spot weakness.

2. Global Bullion Dynamics

  • First Monthly Gain in 5 Months: Despite mild profit-taking, international bullion remains on track for a positive monthly close.
  • Core Support: Geopolitical tensions, safe-haven interest, and US interest-rate expectations continue to floor global prices.

3. Macro Headwinds: Crude Oil & US Data

  • Crude Oil Rebound: Rising Brent and WTI prices revived broader inflation worries, dampening investor risk appetite for gold and capping upside potential.
  • Fed Rate Triggers: Markets are sitting tight ahead of crucial US economic indicators, specifically consumer sentiment, inflation expectations, and employment cost data.
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