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Gold Demand in India Drops 16%, Value Surges 23%: WGC

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India’s gold demand witnessed a notable divergence in the July–September 2025 quarter, as soaring prices weighed on jewellery purchases even while the total value of demand surged, according to the latest data from the World Gold Council (WGC).

Total gold demand fell 16% year-on-year to 209.4 tonnes, compared to 248.3 tonnes in the same quarter last year. The contraction was primarily led by the 31% decline in jewellery demand by volume, reflecting consumer caution amid record-high prices that consistently hovered near historic peaks during the quarter.

However, despite the slump in volumes, the value of gold demand rose sharply by 23%, reaching Rs.2,03,240 crore, up from Rs.1,65,380 crore a year earlier. This surge underscores gold’s resilience as an asset class, as investors continued to view it as a stable store of value amid economic uncertainty and market volatility.

According to the WGC, the price-sensitive Indian consumer responded by opting for lighter-weight jewellery, token purchases, and increased investment in bars, coins, and ETFs. The report also noted that the outlook for the October–December festive quarter remains positive, supported by improved sentiment, the onset of the wedding season, and expectations of more stable gold prices.

Analysts suggest that while jewellery demand may take time to normalize, the strong investment appetite signals a deeper structural shift — one that reaffirms gold’s enduring appeal as both a cultural and financial asset in Indian households.

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National News

Gold & Precious Metals – A future outlook

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The session saw a power packed panel of experts that comprisedSurendra Mehta, National Secretary-  IBJA,Ranjith Singh,Head of Business Development, IIBX, Shweta Dhanak, Director – Vijay Exports,S Thirupathi Rajan, MD Goldsmith Academy, Shivanshu Mehta, SVP & Head Bullion-MCX.The session was moderated by Chirag Seth, Principal Consultant, Metals Focus.

Some salient points made by the panelists:

  • Gold prices are not linked to consumer demand. They are linked to central bank buying and ETFs
  • Till the banking system doesn’t collapse, gold price will continue to rise
  • Jewellers were advised to use a mix of futures and options for risk mitigation
  • Given the current situation manufacturers selling on credit or unfavorable deals could be fatal flaw for business.
  • Precious metals forecast: Surendra Mehta said he sees gold in 2026 in $4900-5100 range and silver in $90-105.Looking further he said by 2030-2035 gold could touch $18000- 20000 and silver could reach $500. Chirag Seth predicted silver touching $105 this year and gold moving in the $ 5200- $ 5500.

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