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Gold crosses $3300 on rising geopolitical tensions AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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Gold reached almost $3300, close to a two-week high and continuing its more than 2% advance, helped by escalating geopolitical threats and the US dollar’s ongoing weakening.

Last Friday, Moody’s reduced the US credit rating from AAA to AA1, which lowered risk perception and increased demand for gold.

According to reports, Israel is preparing to attack Iranian nuclear sites, which might lead to retaliation from Iran and deepen the Middle East crisis.

Geopolitical fears were heightened when President Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine would start peace negotiations right away, but he seemed to be hinting that he would withdraw from mediating the three-year conflict.

Gold Market

Price Level (USD)Approx. INR EquivalentMarket OutlookTechnical Indicator
$3265₹94,000Current resistance levelResistance
$3200₹92,000Key support (neckline of Double Top); if broken, bearish signalNeckline Support (Double Top)
$3000₹86,000Target if $3200 is broken and held belowDownside Target

Silver prices are expected to continue trading in the range of $32(~Rs 94000) and  $34(~Rs 98000) as there is no trigger for silver markets.

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International News

Precious Metals zoom ato record high ahead of FOMC meet AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Around $3728 (~Rs 110,300) for gold futures and $43.23 (~Rs 129,7000) for silver, both markets were trading close to a record high ahead of the US FED’s two-day policy meeting that begins today.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first since December, and markets are almost certain that the easing cycle will continue into the following year. Recap: Despite the president’s dismissal, the federal appeals court permits Lisa Cook to remain as a Fed gov and take part in the FOMC meeting beginning tomorrow.
  • For clues about the direction of future policy, all eyes will be on the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which includes the much-awaited dot plot, and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Regarding the data, reports on industrial production and retail sales that are anticipated later today will be closely examined to gain more understanding of how strong the economy is.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Dec Futures has given a breakout above $3700 (~Rs 110,000), the next target would be $3800 (~Rs 113,500). If prices top out and fall below $3650 (~Rs 108,500), then only we could see further profit booking.
  • Silver Nov Future prices have given a breakout above its consolidation range of $41 (~Rs 123,000) and $42 (~Rs 126,000) for the past few days and achieved the target of $43. This rally has more room for upside towards $45 (~Rs 140,000)

Support and Resistance

CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3650/oz$3800/oz
Indian₹108,500/10 gm₹113,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$42.5/oz$45/oz
Indian₹127,000/kg₹140,000/kg

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