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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

MCX Gold Futures For June Delivery Slip , Geopolitical Uncertainty Keeps Bullion in Focus

International Bullion Markets Remained Volatile As Investors Monitored Developments In US-Iran Negotiations

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Gold and silver prices traded lower on Thursday amid easing US Treasury yields and improving global market sentiment, even as geopolitical tensions surrounding the US-Iran conflict continued to influence investor outlook. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for June delivery slipped Rs. 206 to Rs. 1,59,800 per 10 grams, while silver contracts for July delivery fell Rs. 1,350, or 0.5%, to Rs. 2,72,915 per kilogram.

International bullion markets remained volatile as investors monitored developments in US-Iran negotiations. US President Donald Trump indicated that talks with Iran were in their “final stages” but cautioned that failure to secure an agreement could trigger renewed military action, keeping risk sentiment fragile.

Analysts said precious metal prices continue to be supported by concerns over inflation and safe-haven demand. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sustained elevated crude oil prices, fuelling worries about supply disruptions and inflationary pressures.

A softer US dollar and a pullback in Treasury yields also offered some support to bullion after recent bond market volatility. However, expectations of a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve continue to weigh on sentiment, with policymakers signalling that further rate hikes may be considered if inflation remains above target.

Market participants are now closely watching progress in US-Iran talks, movements in crude oil prices, and upcoming manufacturing and services PMI data from major economies for further direction in bullion markets. Domestically, higher import duties on gold and silver are expected to keep demand subdued, with prices likely to remain range-bound in the near term.

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