National News
Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report
Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.
Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.
This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.
Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.
Technical Triggers
Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000).
Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).
National News
Precious Metals Soar, Oil Plunges On US-Iran Peace Deal
Global Concerns Regarding The Energy Crisis, Inflationary Pressures, and Aggressive Rate Hike Trajectories Have Significantly Eased.
A confirmed peace agreement between the US and Iran has triggered massive waves across global markets, easing energy crisis fears and altering the global economic outlook ahead of major central bank meetings. Driven by strong global bullish sentiment, gold and silver hit massive milestones on the MCX and spot markets: MCX Gold: Up 2% (~Rs 2,300), nearing the Rs 1.54 lakh mark. MCX Silver: Outperforming with a 3% upside (~Rs 6,000), crossing Rs 2.53 lakh. US Spot Gold: Surged over 2.5% to trade above $4,300/oz. Spot Silver: Zoomed over 4% to trade above $70.5/oz.
Oil prices nosedived following President Trump’s announcement that a US blockade on Iranian ports would be lifted, allowing Persian Gulf shipments to resume soon.
- Brent Crude: Dropped 5% to $83/bbl as the Strait of Hormuz prepares to reopen.
- US WTI Crude: Slipped 6% to trade around $80/bbl.
- MCX Crude: Crashed by 5.5%.
- The Accord: The formal treaty to end the conflict (active since late February) is scheduled to be signed in Switzerland on June 19. It includes blockades being lifted, sanctions relief for Iran, and the dismantling of Tehran’s nuclear program.
- Macro Relief: Global concerns regarding the energy crisis, inflationary pressures, and aggressive rate hike trajectories have significantly eased.
- Central Bank Watch:
- US Fed: Holding its first policy meeting under new chair Kevin Warsh this week; rates are widely expected to remain unchanged.
- Bank of Japan:Â Expected to buck the trend and raise rates to support the Yen.
- Reserve Bank of Australia:Â Expected to hold policy steady.
Precious Metals Soar, Oil Plunges On US-Iran Peace Deal
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