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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

MCX Gold, Silver Move North On June US Employment Report

MCX Gold Futures Reclaimed the ₹1.48 lakh Mark

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MCX Gold Futures reclaimed the Rs 1.48 lakh mark, hitting an intraday high of Rs 1,48,046 per 10 grams before stabilizing around Rs 1,47,845 (up 1.43%). Spot Gold (Global) surged by 1.5% to trade at $4,185 per ounce, rapidly closing in on the $4,200 level.

MCX Silver Futures zoomed up by Rs 4,457 or 1.91% to trade near Rs 2,37,761 per kg, after touching an intraday high of Rs 2,38,216 per kg. Spot Silver (Global) climbed more than 2.3% to trade comfortably above $62 per ounce.

The primary catalyst behind the bullish reversal was the June US employment report, which indicated a cooling US economy.

Nonfarm Payrolls: The US added just 57,000 jobs in June—the lowest hiring momentum in four months—well below the market expectation of 110,000 jobs.

Unemployment Rate: The rate edged down from 4.3% to 4.2%. However, economists noted that the decline was largely due to a weaker labour force participation rate, which fell to 61.5%, rather than stronger hiring activity.

Sectoral Shifts: Professional and business services (+36,000) and healthcare (+22,000) led job gains, while the leisure and hospitality sector recorded a sharp decline of 61,000 jobs.

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