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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Rapid Growth In Gold Loan Merits Continued Vigilance: RBI FSR

The Report Cautioned That A Prolonged Correction In Gold Prices Could Weaken Collateral Protection

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The rapid growth in lending against gold collateral amid elevated gold price volatility merits continued vigilance, even as asset impairment risks remain contained and LTV (loan-to-value) ratios provide comfortable cushion, according to the RBI’s Financial Stability Report (FSR).

Since March 2024, gold loans have grown at a staggering 42.4% annually (CAGR). To put that into perspective, other non-housing retail loans only grew at about half that speed (23%). Overall, the gold loan portfolio of lenders rose 54.5 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) as of March-end 2026.

Both regular banks and NBFCs (Non-Banking Financial Companies) have been aggressively handing out these loans because gold prices have been so high. When gold is worth more, your gold jewelry can suddenly fetch you a much bigger loan.

FSR assessed that the recent increase in gold loans is driven primarily by existing borrowers, who are using higher gold prices to secure larger loans and roll over existing debt, as indicated by the gap between fresh originations and loan outstanding.

The report cautioned that a prolonged correction in gold prices could weaken collateral protection, increase borrower stress and result in higher delinquencies. Gold loans include agriculture gold loans that are offered against the collateral security of gold jewellery, ornaments and coins.

Right now, the situation is stable, and banks aren’t losing money yet. But the RBI is reminding lenders not to get blinded by the current gold rush. If gold prices take a tumble, a lot of these seemingly “safe” loans could turn into a major headache for the financial system.

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