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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Lenders flag signs of stress in gold loans

​Banks and financial companies have been rushing to offer these loans, believing that holding a borrower’s physical gold makes the investment safe and low-risk

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Two major Indian companies—Bajaj Finance and Piramal Finance—are seeing early signs of trouble with gold loans. Over the past year, lending money against gold has been the fastest-growing part of their business.

Banks and financial companies have been rushing to offer these loans, believing that holding a borrower’s physical gold makes the investment safe and low-risk.

According to official data from the Reserve Bank of India:

Bank gold loans jumped 83% compared to last year, reaching 5.6 trillion rupees.

Non-bank gold loans grew 69%, rising to 3.6 trillion rupees.

Although overall default rates are still low, both companies are urging caution.

Bajaj Finance, which holds 240 billion rupees ($2.54 billion) in gold loans, reported an increase in late payments during its July–September results. The portion of loans overdue by 30 days or more (classified as ‘stage 2’ and ‘stage 3’ assets) rose by 15 basis points compared to the previous quarter.

The lender said overall assets classified as ‘stage 2’ and ‘stage 3’, which reflect loans overdue by more than 30 days rose 15 basis points compared to a quarter ago.

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