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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

MCX Gold, Silver Futures See Sharp Drop Mirroring Action In Global Spot markets

U.S. Economic Strength Drives Fed Rate Expectations, Sparking Global Selloff

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Precious metals plunged in Indian markets early Wednesday, tracking a global selloff as resilient U.S. economic data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates later this year.On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures tumbled as much as 1% to an intraday low of 141,115 rupees per 10 grams, a drop of 1,416 rupees. Silver suffered even steeper losses, crashing by 5,662 rupees to hit a session low of 222,901 rupees per kilogram.

The sharp decline mirrored action in global spot markets, where gold continued to trade below the $4,000-an-ounce threshold, lingering at an eight-month low. Spot silver slid nearly 2% to trade near a seven-month low of $57.60 per ounce.

The primary catalyst for the selloff was a string of robust economic indicators out of the U.S., which underscored the economy’s underlying strength and complicated the inflation outlook.

  • Labor Market Tightness: The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed vacancies climbing to a two-year high. Wall Street analysts are forecasting another solid expansion in non-farm payrolls for June.
  • Sticky Inflation: Recent core inflation readings have remained stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, according to data from Trading Economics.

Higher interest rates typically damp the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold and silver, as investors opt for higher-yielding U.S. Treasury bonds and a strengthening dollar. Markets are currently pricing in at least one Fed rate hike this year, with the first potentially arriving as early as September.

Beyond macroeconomic data, investors are closely monitoring geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Ongoing U.S.-Iran peace talks in Qatar have raised cautious optimism for a lasting ceasefire agreement, reducing the safe-haven premium that has historically supported precious metals. The two sides, however, are not expected to engage in direct negotiations.

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