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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Precious Metals Faced Mixed Signals Markets Digest Fed Stance and Geopolitical Risks

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Precious metals faced mixed signals on Thursday as investors evaluated central bank policy alongside currency movements and geopolitical friction. While international gold saw light pressure from a firm US dollar, domestic prices in India remained tempered by a resilient rupee, which reduced landed import costs.

Gold and silver prices were volatile on the MCX on Thursday (30 July) morning amid an uptick in the US dollar and 10-year bond yields after the US Federal Reserve maintained rates steady. MCX gold August futures were almost flat at Rs 1,41,856 per 10 grams, while MCX silver September futures were 0.51% down at Rs 2,16,376 per kg.

Investors continue to keep a close eye on US-Iran tensions and supply route security in the Strait of Hormuz. However, the primary catalyst remains the Federal Reserve.

After the Fed held interest rates steady, market perception shifted. traders had priced in a firmer anti-inflation stance; the Fed’s measured tone effectively lowered real-yield fears, reviving demand for non-yielding bullion.

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