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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

Gold Rates In India Decline, Silver Rates Unchanged

Investors Are Cautious Over The US-Iran Peace Negotiations

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Gold rates in India dropped by up to Rs 4,300 per 100 grams on May 23, while silver rates in the country were unchanged. This is after spot gold recorded its second consecutive weekly decline due to elevated crude oil prices amidst inflation woes. Crude is currently at 4-year highs, and investors are cautious in global and MCX markets over the US-Iran peace negotiations, as both countries have stalled so far.

Domestic Gold Yields: Experienced a negative variance of up to Rs 4,300 per 100 grams, marking a second consecutive weekly contraction phase.  Domestic Silver Yields: Exhibited a flatline trajectory, demonstrating 0% delta day-over-day.

MCX Benchmarks (Friday Close): Gold breached its support level, dipping below the Rs 1.59 lakh threshold. Silver concluded the weekly cycle compressed below Rs 2.72 lakh per 1 kg.

Spot Market Liquidity: Spot Gold retracted by ~1%, stabilizing at a $4,516/oz. Spot Silver absorbed the brunt of the market correction, declining ~2% to settle sub-$76/oz.

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