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Gold consolidates in the $50 range before a decisive move: Augmont Bullion Report

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Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885 and $2935, spurred by a weaker US dollar and safe-haven flows as fears about the US economy grow amid growing trade tensions.

Concerns over a probable economic slowdown were heightened after President Donald Trump stated that the US economy was in a moment of transition while refusing to rule out the chance that his policies would create a recession.

This comes after the United States delayed imposing 25% tariffs on several Canadian and Mexican imports for a month, while Canada maintained its first retaliatory measures. China also levied further duties on some American agriculture products in reaction to Trump’s latest tariff increases on Chinese imports. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged increased economic uncertainties but expressed no need to decrease interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week, which may impact the Fed’s monetary policy position.

Technical Triggers      

Gold prices are consolidating in a range between $2885(~Rs 85400) and $2935(~Rs 86200), prices need to break this range for decisive move towards upside momentum of $2975 (~Rs 87000). 

Silver May Futures is gaining strength and if sustains above $330(~Rs 96700), the next target is $340(~Rs 100,000), and once it sustains above that, it can head higher towards $350(~Rs 103,000).

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National News

MCX Gold Prices Decline On Strengthening Dollar

The Dip Comes As Investors Weigh A Complex Geopolitical Backdrop Against The Federal Reserve’s “Higher-For-Longer” Interest Rate Stance

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Gold prices retreated on Monday as a strengthening dollar and persistent inflation anxieties outweighed the cautious optimism surrounding a new diplomatic overture from Tehran. Futures for the precious metal on the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) slipped 0.15% to 1,51,119 rupees per 10 grams in morning trade, while silver followed suit, declining 0.08%. The dip comes as investors weigh a complex geopolitical backdrop against the Federal Reserve’s “higher-for-longer” interest rate stance, which continues to bolster the greenback.

The primary catalyst for market volatility remains the dual blockade in the Persian Gulf. While crude oil prices eased slightly on Monday, they remained supported above the $100-per-barrel mark.

The slight cooling in energy markets followed a series of posts from President Donald Trump, who announced that the U.S. Navy would begin “Project Freedom”—a humanitarian operation to escort nearly 900 commercial vessels currently stranded in the Strait of Hormuz.

For gold investors, the tug-of-war between safe-haven demand and a hawkish dollar is reaching a fever pitch. While the conflict in the Middle East provides a floor for bullion prices, the inflationary pressure of $100-plus oil is keeping the U.S. Federal Reserve on the offensive.

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