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 Gold climbs $100 from its intraday low:AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Gold prices bounced up about $100 (~Rs 1500) from their intraday lows as investors appeared to be shifting back to safe-haven assets due to a slowdown in the pace of discussions between Russia and Ukraine and less-than-expected US data.
  • As consumers reduced their spending on vehicles, sporting equipment, and other imported goods due to worries about rising prices brought on by tariffs, US retail sales barely increased in April.
  • Concurrently, the PPI prices unexpectedly dropped due to a 1.6% decline in wholesalers’ and retailers’ margins, suggesting that businesses may be mitigating some of the effects of higher tariffs.
  • Moreover, Trump claimed that no progress on Ukraine will happen unless he meets with Putin, while the Ukrainian president argued that Moscow’s low-ranking diplomats dispatched to Istanbul for peace talks indicate a lack of genuine determination.

Technical Triggers

  • As Gold prices have broken the Double-top neckline support of $3200, more downside is expected up to $3000-50 (~Rs 87000 – 88000) in the short term.
  • Silver prices are expected to get momentum now, as the tariff war has de-escalated. We are likely to see prices touching $34(~Rs 99000) and $35(~Rs 102,0000) soon in the coming days.

MetalRegionSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3050/oz$3260/oz
GoldIndia₹92,000/10 gm₹94,000/10 gm
SilverInternational$31.5/oz$33.5/oz
SilverIndia₹93,500/kg₹97,500/kg
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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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