International News
Gold and Silver recoup half of the losses AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold has recovered nearly 15% from recent lows, while silver has rebounded about 25%, as forced liquidations eased and dip buyers stepped in to capitalize on sharply lower prices.
- Geopolitical tensions added to safe-haven demand after the US Navy shot down an Iranian drone in the Arabian Sea, even as markets await a fresh round of nuclear talks scheduled for Friday.
- President Trump signed a spending deal restoring funding for key federal agencies, effectively ending the partial US government shutdown and extending Homeland Security funding until February 13, buying time for further negotiations.
- The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will not be released this Friday; however, the ADP private-sector employment data due Wednesday will offer key insights into labor market conditions.
Technical Triggers
- After achieving target of $5000, Gold prices may extend the ongoing rebound towards $5200 (~ Rs.163,000), with strong support at $4,900 (~ Rs.150,000).
- Silver is attempting to build a base and is expected to consolidate in the $72–$88 range (~ Rs.225,000–Rs.283,000). If prices sustain above this range, then prices can rally towards $98-100 (~ Rs 320-325000) zone in coming days.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4900 / oz | $5200 / oz |
| Gold | India | ₹150,000 / 10 gm | ₹163,000 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $72 / oz | $88 / oz |
| Silver | India | ₹225,000 / kg | ₹283,000 / kg |
International News
Gold and Silver Hold Bullish Bias Amid Fed Rate Ambiguity and Geopolitical Risk-AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Demand and Supply – Gold and silver are carrying forward last week’s uptrend, helped by fewer bets on the Federal Reserve tightening policy next month, as investors wait for key U.S. inflation data that could reshape expectations around the Fed’s path.
- Geopolitical Tensions – The U.S. and Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels reported separate shipping attacks on Tuesday, while hopes of ending the Iran war seemed to fade further, as Tehran said the Strait of Hormuz would stay shut unless Washington agrees to its terms.
- Macro-Economic Signals – As investors wait for U.S. inflation data for clues on the Fed’s policy direction, a stronger reading could support a tighter stance and add more pressure on gold, while a softer number could bring some relief. Traders are currently pricing in a 50% chance of a hike in September, down from 60% before the jobs report.
Technical Triggers
- Gold’s break above $4200 (~Rs 1,46,000) has opened the way toward $4,500 (~Rs 1,56,000). Gold is holding support at its uptrend line through August. Near-term support sits at $4350 (~Rs 153,500).
- Silver’s move past $63 (~Rs 2,30,000) has opened the path toward $70-71 (~Rs 2,50,000-2,55,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4350/oz : $4500/oz : Rs 151,500/10 gm : Rs 156,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $63/oz : $70/oz : Rs 230,000/kg : Rs 255,000/kg |
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