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Gold and silver dip on Russia Ukraine peace speculation

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Gold and silver prices faced profit booking on MCX Tuesday amid buzz over a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal. MCX February 2025 gold futures slid over Rs.800/10g to an intraday low of Rs.1,33,308, recovering to Rs.1,33,800 by 2:35 PM. Silver hit Rs.1,94,260/kg, down Rs.3,650/kg early on. Internationally, COMEX gold fell $37/oz to $4,298.65 before rebounding above $4,300/oz.

The pressure stemmed from reports of Ukrainian President Zelenskyy considering dropping NATO ambitions, fueling unconfirmed peace talk speculation despite no territorial concessions. Silver and gold rates today are under pressure as the market is discounting the news reports of the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s indication to drop Kyiv’s long-held ambition of joining NATO. This has triggered peace deal buzz in the Russia-Ukraine war, started in February 2022, when Moscow launched a full-scale invasion of its neighbour.

Supportive factors are weak INR/USD and falling bond yields persist. Analysts sees MCX gold rebound to Rs.1,34,000–Rs.1,37,000/10g (support at Rs.1,33,250), with COMEX gold targeting $4,400/oz (support at $4,280).

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International News

Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

  • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
  • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
  • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
  • Energy Sector Headwinds

Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

  • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

  • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
  • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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