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Gold and silver dip on Russia Ukraine peace speculation

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Gold and silver prices faced profit booking on MCX Tuesday amid buzz over a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal. MCX February 2025 gold futures slid over Rs.800/10g to an intraday low of Rs.1,33,308, recovering to Rs.1,33,800 by 2:35 PM. Silver hit Rs.1,94,260/kg, down Rs.3,650/kg early on. Internationally, COMEX gold fell $37/oz to $4,298.65 before rebounding above $4,300/oz.

The pressure stemmed from reports of Ukrainian President Zelenskyy considering dropping NATO ambitions, fueling unconfirmed peace talk speculation despite no territorial concessions. Silver and gold rates today are under pressure as the market is discounting the news reports of the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s indication to drop Kyiv’s long-held ambition of joining NATO. This has triggered peace deal buzz in the Russia-Ukraine war, started in February 2022, when Moscow launched a full-scale invasion of its neighbour.

Supportive factors are weak INR/USD and falling bond yields persist. Analysts sees MCX gold rebound to Rs.1,34,000–Rs.1,37,000/10g (support at Rs.1,33,250), with COMEX gold targeting $4,400/oz (support at $4,280).

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International News

AGTA appeals US Government to Scrap 10% Import Tariff on Gemstones

Trade body seeks exemption for coloured gemstones under new temporary tariff regime, with potential implications for diamonds.

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The American Gem Trade Association (AGTA) has formally appealed to the US government to remove the newly imposed 10% global import tariff on gemstones, and potentially diamonds, warning of its impact on the trade.

The tariff was announced on February 20 after the US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs issued under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In response, the administration introduced a temporary 10% import surcharge under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. The measure will remain in effect for 150 days unless Congress votes to extend it, though further tariff mechanisms have not been ruled out.

AGTA has submitted a formal request to the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), urging that precious and semiprecious coloured gemstones be added to the exception list under Annex I or Annex II. The association argued that these stones are not mined domestically in the US and therefore should qualify for exemption.

Previously, AGTA’s lobbying efforts contributed to diamonds and gemstones being included in Annex III — a list of products eligible for potential exemption from duties for “aligned” countries. This had placed Indian diamonds and gemstones on track for relief following a prospective US-India trade agreement. However, it remains unclear whether Annex III provisions apply under the new tariff framework that recently took effect.

If the across-the-board exemption request is denied, AGTA has asked the USTR to confirm whether Annex III remains a viable pathway for country-specific tariff relief on coloured gemstones.

While the current petition focuses on coloured gemstones, AGTA noted that trade experts believe any exemption granted in this category could effectively extend to diamonds, as seen in past trade agreements such as the US–European Union deal.

“We will continue to work tirelessly toward eliminating tariffs on gemstone imports into the US. We remain fully committed to this effort — giving up is not an option,” said AGTA President Bruce Bridges and CEO John Ford.

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