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Chow Tai Fook Posts Soft Earnings as China’s Gold Tax Shift Clouds Outlook

Flat profits and tighter margins signal rising pressure on China’s biggest jewellery retailer after Beijing ends a key gold tax rebate.

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Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group reported a muted performance for the first half of the fiscal year, with profits landing just below expectations as the industry braces for the impact of China’s recent policy change on gold taxation. The retailer posted HK$2.5 billion in net income, marginally short of analyst forecasts of HK$2.6 billion, according to its latest filing.

While gross margin eased to 30.5%, the company noted that stronger sales of higher-margin fixed-price jewellery and the appreciation of gold helped offset the pressure. In mainland China, average selling prices for fixed-price gold pieces continued to rise, supported by Chow Tai Fook’s ongoing premiumisation strategy amid fierce competition from domestic rivals such as Laopu Gold.

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The jewellery giant has been navigating a tough landscape shaped by volatile gold prices, softer consumer sentiment, and a fast-evolving competitive environment. Despite these challenges, the company said it remains optimistic about sustaining momentum through the second half of FY2026.

However, uncertainty looms after China eliminated a long-standing tax rebate on gold imports on Nov. 1, a move aimed at shoring up government revenues. The change is expected to raise gold acquisition costs and could squeeze retailer margins further if passed on to consumers.

Chow Tai Fook has already revised certain product prices to reflect rising gold rates. Even so, its stock has rallied strongly, climbing 127% year to date, signalling investor confidence despite near-term industry turbulence.

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International News

Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector

Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments

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Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.

We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:

  • Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
  • Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
  • Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
  • Energy Sector Headwinds

Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:

  • Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.

Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation

The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.

  • US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
  • Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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