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A hike in US tariffs could adversely impact India’s  GJ sector

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US President Donald Trump plans to implement reciprocal tariffs on all countries, countering previous speculation of targeting only 10 to 15 nations. These tariffs aim to rebalance trade and support US manufacturing, although specifics on affected countries and tariff calculations remain unclear.US President Donald Trump announced that he plans to begin his reciprocal tariff strategy with “all countries,” dismissing speculation that the initial tariffs, set to be unveiled on April 2, would target only 10 to 15 nations.

He has pledged to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that levy fees on U.S. exports, aiming to match their duties. In February, Trump signed a memorandum instructing U.S. trade officials to craft customised countermeasures for each targeted country.

A hike in US tariffs that could adversely affect Indias  already-struggling diamond and jewellery sectors. India’s exports of gems and jewelry particularly studded gold jewelry and cut and polished diamonds will be largely impacted. A sudden tariff hike could severely impact exports, putting thousands of livelihoods at risk.

In 2024, India’s key exports to the US included precious and semi-precious stones (USD 5.3 billion), gold and other precious metal jewellery (USD 3.2 billion).India’s imports from the US included  cut and polished diamonds (USD 2.6 billion),  and gold (USD 1.3 billion).

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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JewelBuzz is Asia’s First Digital Jewellery Media & India’s No.1 B2B Jewellery Magazine, published by AM Media House. Since 2016, we’ve been the trusted source for jewellery news, market trends, trade insights, exhibitions, podcasts, and brand stories, connecting jewellers, retailers, and industry professionals worldwide.

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