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WGC  Q1 2025 Gold Demand Trends: surging gold ETFs fuel Q1 demand

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The World Gold Council’s Q1 2025 Gold Demand Trends report reveals total quarterly gold demand (including OTC1) was 1,206t, a 1% increase year-on-year, in a record high price environment, in which gold surpassed US$3,000/oz.

The gold ETF revival fuelled a more-than doubling of total investment demand to 552t, a 170% year-on-year increase and the highest since Q1 2022. ETF inflows accelerated around the world, totalling 226t in the first quarter as price momentum and tariff policy uncertainty drove investors to gold as a safe haven.

Total bar and coin demand increased 3% y/y, remaining elevated at 325t during Q1, spurred by a surge of retail investment in China, which posted its second-highest quarter on record. Eastern investors drove much of the global demand for bar and coin, offsetting Western weakness as appetite in the US dropped 22% year-on-year, alongside a modest 12t recovery in Europe, but from a very low base in the same quarter last year.

Central Banks are now entering their 16th consecutive year of net-buying, adding 244t to global reserves in Q1 amidst ongoing global uncertainty. While this level of demand was 21% lower year-on-year, it remains robust and in line with the quarterly average for the last three years of sustained, strong buying.

Unsurprisingly, jewellery demand was negatively impacted as gold hit 20 all-time price highs in Q1. Volumes reached their lowest point since demand was stifled by the COVID pandemic in 2020. However, the jewellery market remained relatively resilient, especially in value terms, given extreme price pressures. The first quarter saw a 9% year-on-year increase in consumer spending to US$35bn with every market except China seeing an increase in the value of gold jewellery demand.

Total gold supply was relatively flat year-on-year, at 1,206t in the first quarter as record Q1 mine production was offset by slightly lower recycling. Technology demand was also stable at 80t, compared to Q1 2024.

Louise Street, Senior Markets Analyst at the World Gold Council, commented: “It’s been a bumpy start to the year for global markets as trade turmoil, unpredictable US policy announcements, sustained geopolitical tensions and a return of recessionary fears have created a highly uncertain environment for investors. In this context, investment demand for gold has paved the way for the highest level of first quarter demand since 2019.

“Over the past 10 months investors have returned to gold ETFs, ramping up their allocations since Q3 last year, and already in April, Asian inflows have stormed past their Q1 total. However, there is still room for growth, with global gold ETF holdings sitting 10% below their 2020 high.

“Looking ahead, the broader economic landscape remains difficult to predict, and that uncertainty could provide upside potential for gold. As turbulent times persist, safe haven demand for gold from institutions, individuals and the official sector could climb higher in the months to come.”

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International News

Global Bullion Markets Experience Downturn As US Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

Market Analysts Anticipate Continued Volatility In Precious Metals As Traders Digest The Fed’s Stance On Monetary Policy and Its Implications For Future Rate Trajectories

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Global bullion markets experienced a downturn on Thursday as spot gold and silver prices each fell by nearly 1% following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s overnight decision to keep key interest rates unchanged. Domestic gold and silver prices in India are expected to reflect this global weakness throughout today’s trading session.

ParameterDetails
Gold (MCX) Futures~₹1,43,600.00 – ₹1,43,724.00 per 10 grams
Silver (MCX) Futures~₹1,94,450.00 per kg
Key Contract BenchmarkDecember 2026 Gold Futures are hovering near ₹1,42,324 – ₹1,43,700 levels.
Spot GoldDown ~1%, struggling around $4,044/oz.
Spot SilverDown ~1%, trading below $53.50/oz.
U.S. Fed Policy RateUnchanged at 3.75% – 4.00%.

In international markets, spot gold tumbled nearly 1% to trade near $4,044 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 1% to fall below $53.50 per ounce.

The market reaction follows the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where policymakers voted to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% (3-3/4 to 4 percent).

In an official statement, the FOMC reaffirmed its commitment to supporting its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability while continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves within the banking system.

​Market analysts anticipate continued volatility in precious metals as traders digest the Fed’s stance on monetary policy and its implications for future rate trajectories.

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