International News
US jewellery sector sees strong showing on Black Friday, 2.8% y-o-y growth
The US jewelry sector emerged as a standout performer during this year’s Black Friday sales, solidifying its position as one of the top retail categories in the U.S. for the holiday season. According to fresh data from Mastercard SpendingPulse, the jewelry category experienced a robust 2.8% year-on-year growth, signaling strong consumer appetite for luxury and accessories despite a mixed economic climate.
The Digital Shift While in-store traffic contributed to the rise, the digital channel proved vital to the sector’s success. Online jewelry sales outpaced the category average, climbing 4.2% compared to the same period last year. This aligns with a broader retail trend observed on November 28, where total e-commerce spending surged by 10%, highlighting the consumer preference for clicking over brick-and-mortar browsing for high-ticket items.
Sector Rankings In the hierarchy of holiday spending, jewelry secured the silver medal. The division was second only to Apparel, which dominated the day with a substantial 6% growth across both physical and digital storefronts. Overall, the retail landscape remains healthy; total retail sales for the major shopping holiday rose 4.1% compared to the previous year.
Consumer Sentiment: Strategic Spending The spike in jewelry and apparel suggests a specific consumer psychology at play. Shoppers are actively looking to refresh their wardrobes and invest in “wish-list” items, but they are doing so strategically. Facing an uncertain economic environment, consumers are navigating the season by:
- Shopping Early: Beating the holiday rush to secure inventory.
- Leveraging Promotions: Hunting for significant deals to maximize value.
- Investing in Quality: Prioritizing lasting items over disposable trends.
Regional Hotspots Geographically, the enthusiasm for holiday spending was not uniform. Mastercard noted that spending intensity was concentrated in specific regions, with New England, the Midwest, and the Southeast posting particularly high engagement numbers.
International News
Precious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold Remains Under Short-term Pressure from Expectations of Fed Tightening and a Strong Dollar. However, Investor Positioning in Gold Looks Relatively Light After Months of ETF Outflows.
Price Movement – Gold has bounced back from its key support levels near $3960, and Silver has recovered from $55, after an Iranian official reportedly received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire. The continuing US-Iran standoff has kept investors worried about energy-driven inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 83% chance of a US rate hike in December, up sharply from 73% just a week earlier, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
Geopolitical Tensions – Despite the Houthis announcing fresh military action, both Tehran and Washington appear keen to restart talks and stop the escalating attacks that have nearly destroyed a fragile interim agreement reached last month. A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire, aimed at rescuing the interim deal and eventually leading to a lasting peace agreement.
Macro-Economic Signals – Gold remains under short-term pressure from expectations of Fed tightening and a strong dollar. However, investor positioning in gold looks relatively light after months of ETF outflows, meaning further price drops may be limited. Strong physical demand, especially from China, along with continued central bank buying, is providing solid support to the gold market.
Technical Triggers
If Gold fails to hold above $4,000 (~Rs.1,41,000), it could slide further to $3,900 (~Rs.1,38,000). But if it manages to stay above $4,200, a fresh rally could take it toward $4,500 (~Rs.1,55,000).
For Silver, a strong move above $63 (~Rs.2,35,000) could push prices toward $70–71 (~Rs.2,51,000–2,55,000). On the other hand, a fall below $55 (~Rs.2,14,000) may drag it down to $50 (~Rs.2,00,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $3900/oz : $4160/oz : Rs 137,000/10 gm : Rs 147,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $55/oz : $63/oz : Rs 214,000/kg : Rs 235,000/kg |
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