International News
US jewellery sector sees strong showing on Black Friday, 2.8% y-o-y growth
The US jewelry sector emerged as a standout performer during this year’s Black Friday sales, solidifying its position as one of the top retail categories in the U.S. for the holiday season. According to fresh data from Mastercard SpendingPulse, the jewelry category experienced a robust 2.8% year-on-year growth, signaling strong consumer appetite for luxury and accessories despite a mixed economic climate.
The Digital Shift While in-store traffic contributed to the rise, the digital channel proved vital to the sector’s success. Online jewelry sales outpaced the category average, climbing 4.2% compared to the same period last year. This aligns with a broader retail trend observed on November 28, where total e-commerce spending surged by 10%, highlighting the consumer preference for clicking over brick-and-mortar browsing for high-ticket items.
Sector Rankings In the hierarchy of holiday spending, jewelry secured the silver medal. The division was second only to Apparel, which dominated the day with a substantial 6% growth across both physical and digital storefronts. Overall, the retail landscape remains healthy; total retail sales for the major shopping holiday rose 4.1% compared to the previous year.
Consumer Sentiment: Strategic Spending The spike in jewelry and apparel suggests a specific consumer psychology at play. Shoppers are actively looking to refresh their wardrobes and invest in “wish-list” items, but they are doing so strategically. Facing an uncertain economic environment, consumers are navigating the season by:
- Shopping Early: Beating the holiday rush to secure inventory.
- Leveraging Promotions: Hunting for significant deals to maximize value.
- Investing in Quality: Prioritizing lasting items over disposable trends.
Regional Hotspots Geographically, the enthusiasm for holiday spending was not uniform. Mastercard noted that spending intensity was concentrated in specific regions, with New England, the Midwest, and the Southeast posting particularly high engagement numbers.
International News
Precious Metals Face Macro Headwinds Amid Persistent Inflation and Geopolitical Uncertainty: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Safe-Haven Dynamics
Gold faced downward pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets. Easing inflation expectations have also diminished hopes for aggressive Federal Reserve policy easing, with markets currently pricing in only one possible rate cut later this year.
Geopolitical Developments
Geopolitical tensions escalated after Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) reportedly launched a joint operation with Lebanon’s Hezbollah targeting sites in Israel, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.
Additionally, reports of attacks on two oil tankers in the northern Persian Gulf near Iraq and Kuwait heightened fears of supply disruptions, pushing crude oil prices higher by more than 6%.
Macro-Economic Factors
U.S. inflation data for February came largely in line with expectations but remains above the Federal Reserve’s target. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month, with the annual rate holding steady at 3.1%. Persistently elevated inflation continues to reduce the likelihood of near-term Fed rate cuts.
Technical Triggers
• Gold continues to maintain a bullish bias, with prices expected to move towards $5,250 (~ Rs.163,500) and $5,300 (~ Rs.165,000) in the near term. Strong support is seen around the $5,000 (~ ₹158,500) level, which is likely to act as a key buying zone on any corrective dips.
• After achieving the target of $90, Silver also remains firmly supported and is continuing its upward momentum, with the next upside target around $95 (~ Rs.285,000). On the downside, strong support is placed near $80 (~ Rs.260,000), suggesting that any short-term corrections could attract fresh buying interest.
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $5000 / oz | $5300 / oz |
| Gold | Domestic | ₹158,500 / 10 gm | ₹165,000 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $80 / oz | $95 / oz |
| Silver | Domestic | ₹260,000 / kg | ₹285,000 / kg |
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