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US gold reserves revaluation not under consideration

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U.S. gold reserves are offiially valued at around $11 billion, but their market value has surged to over $1 trillion due to soaring gold prices. Revaluing the gold at market prices could create a “windfall” that could be used to address the budget deficit. The official valuation of US gold reserves has been fixed at $42.22 per ounce since 1973.

The world’s largest economy holds the world’s largest gold reserves and on last count, they crossed an estimated $1 trillion in value. Yet, America’s most prized physical asset is unbelievably undervalued on official ledgers at just $11 billion.

Even though the price of gold is witnessing remarkable appreciation, shooting up 54% so far this year to cross $4,000 per ounce, the US’ official value remains fixed at the 1973 Congressional price of $42.22 per ounce, a figure established through the Par Value Modification Act of 1973.

In other words, there’s a significant disparity between the official accounting value and the actual market value and a potential revaluation of gold reserves at current market prices could inject nothing less than $1 trillion into the Treasury’s accounts and address nearly half of the nation’s $1.973 budget deficit. Such a move, though, may cause substantial implications for dollar, inflation, and above all the global monetary, financial and currency markets.

That said, given the US’s rising national debt, which currently stands at a staggering $37 trillion, there’s simply no appetite for further borrowing. At the same time, the government isn’t in a position to rein in spending at will, and it’s this financial quandary that has forced it into a shutdown for nearly two weeks now.

Repricing gold at current market prices is a quick fix to reset finances, as tapping into gold’s undervalued accounting resource could add substantial assets to the national balance sheet without requiring any physical gold sales or additional debt issuance.

In fact, the government wheeled out the idea earlier this year when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent casually suggested: ‘We’re going to monetise the asset side of the US balance sheet.’ His remark set off a wave of discussions, and though Bessent walked back, the prospect of a $1 trillion windfall continues to linger.

Incidentally, the US Federal Reserve too released a note in August, where it reviewed the rare cases when countries used proceeds from valuation gains on gold and foreign exchange reserves. According to the Fed paper, over the past 30 years, only five economies have done so — Germany, Italy, Lebanon, Curacao and Sint Maarten, and South Africa.

It reasoned that the cash infusion from the revalued gold could be used to pay down debt or finance new spending. It also noted the recent US legislation proposed by Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis’s idea of using revaluation proceeds to create a sovereign wealth fund or a strategic bitcoin reserve, which President Donald Trump has talked about.

However, critics see it as a backdoor money printing exercise or, even, as plain old accounting manipulation. They argue that gold revaluation would implicitly devalue the dollar relative to gold, erode confidence in the fiat system, and fuel inflation by enabling unchecked government spending.

There have been precedents where the US’s prior gold revaluation exercises led to a sharp increase in the money supply, fueling inflation and profoundly impacting both domestic and global economies.

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International News

Precious Metals at the Crossroads – Geopolitics, Inflation, and Key Technical Levels AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Crisis Disrupting Energy Supplies, Pushing Inflation Risks Higher, Increasing The Probability Of Central Bank Interest Rate Hikes

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Safe-Haven Dynamics â€“ Gold and Silver prices are consolidating as investors assess the possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and the uncertain future of the current ceasefire. Both nations are scheduled for peace negotiations in Islamabad this week. However, the ceasefire came under threat on Monday following the seizure of a cargo vessel, raising doubts about whether talks will proceed as planned.

  • Geopolitical Developments– The ongoing Middle East conflict has caused a significant disruption to energy supplies, pushing inflation risks higher and increasing the probability of central bank interest rate hikes — both of which create headwinds for gold prices. Adding to the uncertainty, President Donald Trump indicated he will not extend the truce if no agreement is reached before its deadline, and has stated that the Strait of Hormuz will stay closed until a deal is finalized.
  • Macro-economic Signals – Markets are closely watching for clarity on whether the Islamabad talks will proceed, and if so, whether they result in a ceasefire extension or a broader peace agreement. Gold’s price direction will continue to be driven by Middle East outcomes and their downstream effects on energy costs and inflation expectations.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold is trading in the range of $4750 (~ Rs 152,500) and $4850 (~Rs 155,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown will give 3-4% directional move.
  • Silver is trading in the range of $78 (~ Rs 248,000) and $81 (~Rs 257,000) from past few days. Either side breakout or breakdown from this band will give 3-4% price swing.

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level 
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4600/oz
: $5000/oz
: Rs 153,000/10 gm
: Rs 160,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level 
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $75/oz
: $82/oz 
: Rs 235,000/kg
: Rs 260,000/kg  
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