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US economic downturn and rate cuts support gold rally at record highs- AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold posted its longest rally since February on recession fears and rate-cut bets, up nearly 30% this year but still below April’s $3,500 peak.

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  • Gold held its longest streak of gains since February, driven by fears of a US economic downturn that have fuelled haven demand, along with traders’ bets on lower interest rates.
  • With a 90% chance of a cut, traders have placed bets on the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy at its next meeting in September in response to signs of weakness in the largest economy in the world. Bullion that does not pay interest is usually supported by lower interest rates.
  • Gold has climbed nearly 30% this year as investors have sought safety amid heightened trade conflicts, geopolitical tensions and eroding trust in dollar-denominated assets. Still, the precious metal has been range-bound over the previous few months, lacking new catalysts to rocket over its record high of about $3500 an ounce hit in April.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold has touched its resistance zone of $3440-50 (~Rs 101,350-500), so we might see some profit-booking up to $3390-3400 (~100,000). But if prices sustain above this resistance zone, we might see follow-through buying towards the next psychological level of $3500 (~Rs 103,000).
  • Silver is holding up gains after taking support around $36.5 (~Rs 109,000). Upside momentum could continue towards $38.4(~Rs 114,000), taking clues from gold, while profit booking can drag prices to the support zone.

Support and Resistance

     International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level   Indian Gold Support Level Indian Gold Resistance Level  : $3390/oz : $3500/oz   : Rs 100,000/10 gm : Rs 103,000/10 gm
  International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level   Indian Silver Support Level Indian Silver Resistance Level  : $36.5/oz : $38.4/oz   : Rs 109,000/kg : Rs 114,000/kg
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BrandBuzz

Waman Hari Pethe Jewellers Opens its 30th Showroom marking its entry in Thane, a major Milestone

Continuing its legacy since 1909, Waman Hari Pethe Jewellers opens doors to its 30th showroom in Thane.

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Waman Hari Pethe Jewellers, a name synonymous with heritage and trust since 1909, has expanded its legacy with the grand opening of its 30th showroom in Thane. This marks a significant chapter in the brand’s 116-year journey of delivering timeless craftsmanship and impeccable quality.

The new showroom was inaugurated in the presence of esteemed guests, including Ramesh Vaze, Chairman of S.H. Kelkar & Co. Ltd., and National Award-winning filmmaker Ravi Jadhav, along with long-time patrons and senior members of the company.

Designed as a modern retail destination, the state-of-the-art Thane showroom showcases an extensive range of gold, diamond, and Polki jewellery, blending traditional artistry with contemporary elegance.

Commenting on the launch, Ashish Pethe said, “Opening our 30th showroom is a testament to the trust our customers have placed in us. Our patrons had to travel to Mumbai for buying with us. Now we are happy to come to Thane to serve our loyal customers. Thane’s vibrancy makes it an ideal location to serve our discerning clientele.”

The launch event also featured an exclusive preview of new collections, continuing the brand’s promise to offer jewellery that helps create lasting memories.

With this new addition, Waman Hari Pethe Jewellers reinforces its commitment to being closer to its customers while upholding its legacy of excellence in jewellery.

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International News

Gold price drifts lower to near $3,330 ahead of US-Ukraine talks

Pandora posted 4% revenue growth to DKK 7.08 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong US demand and a 36% surge in lab-grown diamond sales. The brand will close 100 underperforming China stores—double earlier estimates—while still targeting 400–500 new global openings by 2026.

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Gold prices edged lower to around $3,330 in early Asian trading on Monday, pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data. The drop comes ahead of a key meeting later in the day between US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, which traders are watching closely for geopolitical signals.

Last week’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 3.3% year-on-year in July, well above market expectations of 2.5% and the previous 2.4%. The hotter-than-expected inflation reading reduced bets on a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in September, creating headwinds for the yellow metal.

Adding to the picture, US Retail Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month in July, matching forecasts but slightly below June’s upwardly revised 0.9%.

While strong economic data pressures gold, safe-haven demand linked to geopolitical tensions may limit further downside in the near term.

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International News

Pandora to Close Up to 100 Stores in China

Pandora posted 4% revenue growth to DKK 7.08 billion in Q2 2025, driven by strong US demand and a 36% surge in lab-grown diamond sales. The brand will close 100 underperforming China stores—double earlier estimates—while still targeting 400–500 new global openings by 2026.

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Pandora reported steady growth in the second quarter despite global challenges, while announcing plans to close about 100 underperforming stores in China to streamline its retail network. The closures are higher than the 50 previously expected, meaning net global openings will now total 25 to 50 this year, compared to the earlier forecast of 50 to 75. Still, Pandora aims to expand its footprint by 400–500 stores by 2026.

 Product mix contributed negatively driven by the strong performance in Collabs and Pandora Lab-Grown Diamonds, which both carry gross margins below group level,

For the quarter ending June 30, revenue rose 4% to DKK 7.08 billion ($1.11 billion), with organic growth of 8% and like-for-like sales up 3%, driven by strong US demand, especially during Mother’s Day. Profit inched up 0.5% to DKK 803 million ($125.9 million). Lab-grown diamond sales surged 36%, though their lower margins pressured profitability.

Pandora also flagged potential tariff impacts, estimating costs of DKK 200 million in 2025 and DKK 450 million in 2026, and may consider price increases to offset pressures.

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