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US economic downturn and rate cuts support gold rally at record highs- AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold posted its longest rally since February on recession fears and rate-cut bets, up nearly 30% this year but still below April’s $3,500 peak.

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  • Gold held its longest streak of gains since February, driven by fears of a US economic downturn that have fuelled haven demand, along with traders’ bets on lower interest rates.
  • With a 90% chance of a cut, traders have placed bets on the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy at its next meeting in September in response to signs of weakness in the largest economy in the world. Bullion that does not pay interest is usually supported by lower interest rates.
  • Gold has climbed nearly 30% this year as investors have sought safety amid heightened trade conflicts, geopolitical tensions and eroding trust in dollar-denominated assets. Still, the precious metal has been range-bound over the previous few months, lacking new catalysts to rocket over its record high of about $3500 an ounce hit in April.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold has touched its resistance zone of $3440-50 (~Rs 101,350-500), so we might see some profit-booking up to $3390-3400 (~100,000). But if prices sustain above this resistance zone, we might see follow-through buying towards the next psychological level of $3500 (~Rs 103,000).
  • Silver is holding up gains after taking support around $36.5 (~Rs 109,000). Upside momentum could continue towards $38.4(~Rs 114,000), taking clues from gold, while profit booking can drag prices to the support zone.

Support and Resistance

CommoditySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$3390/oz$3500/oz
Indian Gold₹100,000/10 gm₹103,000/10 gm
International Silver$36.5/oz$38.4/oz
Indian Silver₹109,000/kg₹114,000/kg
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International News

Global Bullion Markets Experience Downturn As US Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

Market Analysts Anticipate Continued Volatility In Precious Metals As Traders Digest The Fed’s Stance On Monetary Policy and Its Implications For Future Rate Trajectories

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Global bullion markets experienced a downturn on Thursday as spot gold and silver prices each fell by nearly 1% following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s overnight decision to keep key interest rates unchanged. Domestic gold and silver prices in India are expected to reflect this global weakness throughout today’s trading session.

ParameterDetails
Gold (MCX) Futures~₹1,43,600.00 – ₹1,43,724.00 per 10 grams
Silver (MCX) Futures~₹1,94,450.00 per kg
Key Contract BenchmarkDecember 2026 Gold Futures are hovering near ₹1,42,324 – ₹1,43,700 levels.
Spot GoldDown ~1%, struggling around $4,044/oz.
Spot SilverDown ~1%, trading below $53.50/oz.
U.S. Fed Policy RateUnchanged at 3.75% – 4.00%.

In international markets, spot gold tumbled nearly 1% to trade near $4,044 per ounce, while spot silver dropped 1% to fall below $53.50 per ounce.

The market reaction follows the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where policymakers voted to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.75% to 4.00% (3-3/4 to 4 percent).

In an official statement, the FOMC reaffirmed its commitment to supporting its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability while continuing its policy of maintaining ample reserves within the banking system.

​Market analysts anticipate continued volatility in precious metals as traders digest the Fed’s stance on monetary policy and its implications for future rate trajectories.

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