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 Trump’s reciprocal tariffs spark job loss fears in GJ sector

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The U.S. government’s move to impose reciprocal tariffs has sent ripples of concern through India’s gem and jewellery sector, a vital component of the nation’s economy. Here’s a breakdown of the key issues and implications:

The Core Issue: Reciprocal Tariffs and Trade Imbalance

Unequal Tariff Structures: The heart of the issue lies in the perceived imbalance in tariff structures between the U.S. and India. India currently levies a 20% tariff on gold jewellery imported from the U.S., while the U.S. applies a significantly lower duty of 5.5-7% on Indian gold jewellery. Similarly, India imposes a 5% tariff on cut and polished diamonds, whereas the U.S. has historically maintained zero tariffs on these Indian exports. This discrepancy has prompted the U.S. to consider reciprocal tariffs, aiming to create a more level playing field.
Potential Impact on Exports: The U.S. is a critical market for Indian gem and jewellery exports. Any increase in U.S. tariffs would directly raise the cost of Indian products for American consumers, potentially reducing demand and negatively impacting export volumes.
Key Export Categories at Risk: The primary export categories facing potential disruptions include:
• Cut and polished diamonds: A major export segment, historically enjoying tariff-free access to the U.S. market.
• Studded gold jewellery: A significant contributor to export revenue.
• Plain gold jewellery: Another essential export commodity.
• Lab-grown diamonds: A growing sector within the Indian gem and jewellery industry.

Economic and Social Implications for India

• Impact on Export Revenue: A decline in gem and jewellery exports would directly affect India’s foreign exchange earnings.
• Employment Concerns: The industry is a significant employer, providing livelihoods to over two million people, with a substantial portion being women and individuals from economically disadvantaged backgrounds. Tariff-induced disruptions could lead to job losses and economic hardship for these vulnerable populations.
• Industry Vulnerability: While not the single largest export driver, the gem and jewellery sector holds a vital position in India’s economy. Its labor intensive nature, and the high value of its exports makes it very important.
• Trade Relations: The tariff issue has the potential to strain trade relations between India and the U.S., potentially impacting other areas of economic cooperation.

Factors to Consider

• Market Dynamics: The extent of the impact will depend on the magnitude of the tariff hikes and the ability of Indian exporters to absorb the increased costs or find alternative markets.
• Negotiations: The outcome will also depend on the results of ongoing or future trade negotiations between the two countries.
• Lab-grown Diamonds: The lab-grown diamond market is fairly new, and very dynamic. Any tariff changes could drastically alter the market share of Indian companies in the United States.
In essence, the potential imposition of reciprocal tariffs by the U.S. poses a significant challenge to India’s gem and jewellery industry, with potential ramifications for export revenue, employment, and overall economic stability.

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Malabar Gold & Diamonds Supports Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Appeal On Gold; Submits Proposal To Strengthen Gold Monetisation Scheme

Encourages Recycling, Reuse, and Circulation Of Existing Gold Within India As A Responsible National Priority

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Malabar Gold & Diamonds has submitted a comprehensive proposal to the Government of India recommending strategic enhancements to the Gold Monetisation Scheme (GMS), expressing its wholehearted support to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s appeal on responsible gold consumption and the need to strengthen India’s economic resilience through better utilisation of domestic gold resources.

The proposal, submitted by M.P. Ahammad, Chairman, Malabar Group, to Hon’ble Finance Minister Smt. Nirmala Sitharaman and Hon’ble Commerce & Industry Minister Shri Piyush Goyal, outlines practical measures aimed at increasing public participation in GMS, mobilising idle gold into the formal economy, and encouraging greater recycling, reuse, and circulation of existing gold within India.

India imports nearly 700–800 tonnes of gold annually, resulting in significant foreign exchange outflows and pressure on the current account deficit. At the same time, Indian households and institutions are estimated to hold nearly 25,000–35,000 tonnes of gold in the form of jewellery, coins and bars, much of which remains economically idle.

Malabar Gold & Diamonds stated that greater focus on recycling, exchange, reuse, and monetisation of existing domestic gold can play an important role in reducing import dependency, limiting dollar outflow, and strengthening the Indian economy over the long term.

Commenting on the proposal, M.P. Ahammad, Chairman, Malabar Group, said: 

“India possesses one of the world’s largest privately held gold reserves while continuing to rely significantly on imports to meet domestic demand. We wholeheartedly support the Hon’ble Prime Minister’s appeal and believe that encouraging responsible utilisation, recycling, and circulation of existing gold within the country is an important national priority. With appropriate policy support and active integration of the organised jewellery sector, the Gold Monetisation Scheme can emerge as a highly effective mechanism for mobilising idle gold into the formal economy.”

The proposal notes that while the Gold Monetisation Scheme was introduced to reduce import dependence and monetise idle domestic gold holdings, public participation remained limited due to longer lock-in periods, lower perceived returns, limited redemption flexibility, and procedural challenges.

To improve effectiveness and adoption of the scheme, Malabar Gold & Diamonds has recommended:

  • Integration of organised jewellers into the GMS framework under regulatory oversight
  • Reduction in minimum deposit quantity from 10 grams to 1 gram
  • Flexible redemption options in either gold weight or cash
  • Lower lock-in periods and improved liquidity options
  • Simplified Aadhaar-based e-KYC procedures
  • Customer incentives through jeweller participation, including loyalty-linked benefits
  • Improved transparency in purity testing, valuation, and refining
  • Consideration of GST waiver on gold brought back into the formal system
  • Alignment of GMS with Gold Metal Loan (GML) frameworks for better utilisation within the industry

The proposal also recommends a jeweller-assisted collection and facilitation framework operating under bank and regulatory supervision, with digital tracking systems and transparent processing mechanisms to improve customer confidence and operational efficiency.

According to the proposal, mobilisation of even 1–2% of India’s domestic gold holdings could potentially release nearly 600–700 tonnes of gold into circulation, equivalent to a substantial portion of the country’s annual gold import demand.

Malabar Gold & Diamonds believes that encouraging recycling, reuse, exchange, and monetisation of existing gold within India can become a meaningful economic lever for the country. The company stated that a stronger and more accessible Gold Monetisation Scheme can help reduce import dependence, lower foreign exchange outflows, improve circulation of domestic gold resources, and contribute towards building a more resilient and self-reliant economy in line with the Hon’ble Prime Minister’s vision.

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