JB Insights
The State of Fashion:Luxury 2025
McKinsey & Company and BoF Insights report
Global fashion faces challenging landscape
The ninth annual State of Fashion report by McKinsey & Company and BoF Insights highlights the challenging landscape the global fashion industry faces in 2025. With economic uncertainty, changing consumer behaviors, and evolving market dynamics, the year is expected to be a critical juncture for many brands.
Overview
Economic Challenges: 80% of executives foresee no improvement in the industry, and only 18% rank sustainability as a top concern, down from 29% in 2024. Consumer confidence and spending remain major issues.
Key Drivers: Price sensitivity, the rise of dupes, climate change acceleration, and reshuffled global trade create a difficult environment.
Geographic Shifts: Growth engines in Asia, particularly India, Japan, and Korea, are becoming pivotal as China faces economic challenges.
Themes Driving the Agenda
Trade Reconfigured: Brands are diversifying sourcing to align with evolving trade policies and sustainability targets. Nearshoring and political alignment are critical considerations.
Asia’s Growth Engines: While China slows, India, Japan, and Korea are emerging as vital markets for growth.
Discovery Reinvented: AI-driven curation in e-commerce promises to help overwhelmed shoppers navigate abundant choices.
Silver Spenders: The growing over-50 demographic offers new opportunities for incremental growth, emphasizing the need for inter-generational appeal.
Value Shift: Resale, off-price, and dupe markets are flourishing as consumers seek better value amid persistent economic pressures.
The Human Side of Sales: Enhancing in-store experiences by empowering well-trained sales staff can drive demand for physical retail.
Marketplaces Disrupted: Online non-luxury marketplaces face existential challenges, struggling with declining demand and rising customer acquisition costs.
Sportswear Showdown: Challenger brands are rapidly gaining market share, driving competition in the dynamic sportswear segment.
Inventory Excellence: Advances in inventory management and agile supply chains are key to addressing margin pressures and meeting sustainability goals.
The Sustainability Collective: Collective action is essential to meet decarbonization goals despite consumer reluctance to pay premiums for sustainable products.
Looking Ahead
The industry’s outlook remains sluggish, with revenue growth stabilizing in low single digits. Luxury’s dominance in profit creation is challenged by non-luxury segments for the first time since 2010. Brands that act nimbly to address geographic shifts, demographic changes, and technological innovations will find opportunities amid the turbulence.
Growth in the jewellery sector will be fueled by rising demand from ultra-high spenders and continuous investment from luxury houses in technology and expertise.
The new playbook for 2025 emphasizes adaptability, localization, and sustainability, while redefining value and consumer engagement. The fashion sector must innovate, embrace technology, and prioritize long-term resilience to navigate this period of reckoning successfully.
JB Insights
Gold Loans Fuel MSME Expansion
Industry Seminar Focuses On E-Commerce Growth, Logistics Solutions and Global Shipping Opportunities For The Gem and Jewellery Sector
Across India, gold loans are rapidly shifting from purely personal-finance products into a go-to source of working capital and business-expansion funding for MSMEs, with non-bank lenders such as Muthoot Finance playing a central role in this transition. Record-high gold prices and easier documentation, combined with short-term tenures and relatively quick disbursal, are making gold-loan collateral attractive for small manufacturers, traders, and services-sector entrepreneurs who struggle to access traditional bank credit.
Gold loans have become a key contributor to India’s consumption-loan growth, with originations surging amid slowing personal-loan and credit-card growth and elevated gold prices improving collateral coverage.
Rating agencies and brokers note that high gold prices not only allow larger loans against the same jewellery but also help maintain asset quality, as borrowers are more incentivised to repay rather than forfeit precious metal.
Why MSMEs are turning to gold loans
- Many MSME borrowers use family-held gold as collateral to finance working-capital gaps, inventory purchases, machinery upgrades, or local-market expansion, especially where cash-flow cycles are irregular or credit history is thin.
- Gold loans typically offer lower interest and faster processing than unsecured personal loans or credit cards, and the presence of a tangible asset (gold) makes lenders more comfortable with shorter-tenor, higher-ticket loans.
Role of organised lenders like Muthoot Finance
- Muthoot Finance and other large NBFCs explicitly position gold loans as flexible, short-term credit for “business-related” needs, including trade, small-scale manufacturing, and micro-retail, and have reported that a significant share of new disbursements go to self-employed professionals and small business-owners.
- Digital-first interfaces, branch-network expansion into semi-urban and Tier-2/3 towns, and features such as missed-call status checks and mobile-based payment reminders help MSME-type borrowers manage repayments without frequent visits to branches.
Regulatory and risk-management angle
- Regulators and rating agencies note that channeling gold-loan funds toward productive MSME activity can improve asset quality, as business cash flows often support repayment better than purely consumption-driven loans.
- At the same time, tighter supervision on re-pledging and stricter documentation—from April 2026 onward—are pushing MSME borrowers toward organised players, reducing reliance on informal pawn-shop-style lending and improving transparency in SME-oriented gold-loan portfolios.
Market-level impact
- With the organised gold-loan market expected to breach ₹15 lakh crore by March 2026, MSME-oriented lending is emerging as one of the key growth segments, particularly for NBFCs that combine branch-level trust with digital ease.
- This trend is encouraging gold-loan houses to design quasi-MSME packages—such as higher ticket-sizes, flexible moratoriums around festival seasons, and payment-tracking tools—while keeping the underlying product clearly tagged as a secured gold-loan.
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