International News
Silver chases new record $66 on mixed US jobs report AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Silver reached new all-time highs of $66 (~Rs 205,000) after a mixed US jobs data pushed investors to seek other assets delivering higher yields to mitigate risk.
- While the US economy added 64,000 jobs in November, exceeding expectations, the unemployment rate was 4.6% last month, despite the 43-day government shutdown affecting the figures. This has reinforced expectations for up to two interest-rate cuts in 2026, with approximately 59 basis points of easing priced in for the following year.
- The US dollar Index has reached a two-month low, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for international purchasers. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields decreased following an unexpected uptick in the jobless rate last month.
- Investors are now expecting speeches from key Fed officials on Wednesday, as well as the highly anticipated November consumer inflation report on Thursday, for additional guidance.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is expected to trade in the range of $4300 (~Rs 133,000) to $4380(~Rs 135,000) this week. Buy on dips around support to book profits around resistance.
- Silver has finally crossed $65 (~Rs 201,000) mark. The next resistance level to watch for is $67 (~Rs 208,000). Until prices are trading above $62 (~Rs 194,000), the uptrend is expected to continue.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4380/oz | $4300/oz |
| Gold | Indian | ₹133,000 / 10 gm | ₹135,500 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $62/oz | $67/oz |
| Silver | Indian | ₹194,000 / kg | ₹208,000 / kg |
International News
MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge
While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns
Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.
MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.
However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.
According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.
Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.
With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.
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