International News
Silver chases new record $66 on mixed US jobs report AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Silver reached new all-time highs of $66 (~Rs 205,000) after a mixed US jobs data pushed investors to seek other assets delivering higher yields to mitigate risk.
- While the US economy added 64,000 jobs in November, exceeding expectations, the unemployment rate was 4.6% last month, despite the 43-day government shutdown affecting the figures. This has reinforced expectations for up to two interest-rate cuts in 2026, with approximately 59 basis points of easing priced in for the following year.
- The US dollar Index has reached a two-month low, making greenback-priced bullion more affordable for international purchasers. Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields decreased following an unexpected uptick in the jobless rate last month.
- Investors are now expecting speeches from key Fed officials on Wednesday, as well as the highly anticipated November consumer inflation report on Thursday, for additional guidance.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is expected to trade in the range of $4300 (~Rs 133,000) to $4380(~Rs 135,000) this week. Buy on dips around support to book profits around resistance.
- Silver has finally crossed $65 (~Rs 201,000) mark. The next resistance level to watch for is $67 (~Rs 208,000). Until prices are trading above $62 (~Rs 194,000), the uptrend is expected to continue.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Market | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4380/oz | $4300/oz |
| Gold | Indian | ₹133,000 / 10 gm | ₹135,500 / 10 gm |
| Silver | International | $62/oz | $67/oz |
| Silver | Indian | ₹194,000 / kg | ₹208,000 / kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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