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Safe-Haven Rebound Amid Geopolitical Easing and Macro Uncertainty Augmont Bullion Report

Gold Has Bounced From The $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) Support Zone and Is Now Targeting Resistance At $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000)

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  • Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold and silver have recovered from key support levels as Middle East de-escalation signals pressured oil prices, reducing inflation concerns. The dollar weakened against major currencies after the US indicated progress toward an Iran deal, while the yen surged to a two-month high amid intervention expectations.
  • Geopolitical Developments – President Trump announced a temporary pause in “Project Freedom” — the US military’s commercial shipping escort operation through the Strait of Hormuz — to allow time for a potential Iran agreement. Trump confirmed via Truth Social that negotiations have advanced significantly toward a comprehensive deal.
  • Macro-economic Signals – Market attention now shifts to the upcoming non-farm payrolls data, which will indicate whether economic resilience justifies holding Fed policy steady or whether labour market softening strengthens the case for rate cuts.

Technical Triggers

  • Gold has bounced from the $4,500–4,550 (~Rs. 1,49,000) support zone and is now targeting resistance at $4,800–4,850 (~Rs. 1,55,000). 
  • Silver has recovered from the $73 (~Rs. 2,43,000) support level and is expected to advance toward resistance at $77–78 (~Rs. 2,54,000–2,56,000).

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level 
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4500/oz
: $4850/oz
: Rs 148,000/10 gm
: Rs 155,000/10 gm
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International News

Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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