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Precious metals stabilize as dollar softens and war concerns ease AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Bullion steadies as easing geopolitical tensions weaken the dollar, while gold and silver retain bullish technical momentum.

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Precious metals markets showed mixed yet resilient performance as shifting geopolitical developments and currency movements influenced investor sentiment. Silver rebounded sharply after briefly slipping below the $80 mark, climbing back toward $90 as the U.S. Dollar Index eased following a pullback in safe-haven demand.

The recovery came as expectations grew that tensions surrounding the US–Iran conflict could ease sooner than anticipated. While geopolitical risks traditionally support precious metals, rapid shifts in risk sentiment have recently triggered short-term volatility rather than a sustained rally in bullion prices.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump indicated that U.S. military operations in Iran may be nearing completion and progressing faster than the initially projected four-to-five-week timeline. The U.S. administration has also signalled potential waivers on oil-related sanctions and plans for the U.S. Navy to escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, measures aimed at stabilising global oil supply and preventing a sharp surge in energy prices.

Currency dynamics continue to play a crucial role in bullion markets. The U.S. Dollar Index had strengthened earlier amid safe-haven demand triggered by geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices. Investors are now closely watching key U.S. inflation indicators, including the Consumer Price Index and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which could offer further signals on inflation trends and the future course of monetary policy.

From a technical perspective, gold continues to maintain a bullish bias. Analysts expect prices to move toward the $5,250 level (approximately Rs. 65,000) and potentially $5,300 (around Rs.167,000) in the near term. Strong support is seen near the $5,000 mark, which could act as a key buying zone if prices experience short-term corrections.

Silver also remains firmly supported after reaching the $90 level, with bullish momentum pointing toward a potential upside target of $95. On the downside, the $80 level is expected to serve as a strong support zone, where fresh buying interest could emerge during corrections.

CategorySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$5,000 / oz$5,300 / oz
Domestic Gold (India)₹158,500 / 10 gm₹167,000 / 10 gm
International Silver$80 / oz$95 / oz
Domestic Silver (India)₹260,000 / kg₹285,000 / kg

Overall, bullion markets remain sensitive to currency movements, inflation data, and geopolitical developments. While the longer-term outlook for precious metals remains constructive, short-term price movements are likely to be influenced by fluctuations in the dollar and evolving global risk sentiment.

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International News

Precious Metals Find Support On Ceasefire Optimism AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

Gold Is Trading At Y Oversold Levels Near The Critical Support Zone Of $4,300, Silver Testing Key Support In The $66–$67 Range

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  • Price Movement – Gold and silver are consolidating near key support levels as markets digest a fragile Israel-Iran ceasefire alongside mounting concerns over inflation and the prospect of further interest rate hikes.
  • Geopolitical Developments – President Trump confirmed that both parties are pursuing an immediate ceasefire, with final negotiations advancing. Israel and Iran announced a mutual halt to hostilities following a direct appeal from Washington. However, Tehran cautioned that it reserves the right to resume strikes if Israeli operations against Hezbollah in Lebanon continue.
  • Macro-economic Signals – CME FedWatch data shows markets now pricing a greater than 70% probability of a Fed rate hike by December. Investors are closely watching May’s U.S. CPI and PPI releases, due Wednesday, for clearer signals on the Fed’s policy trajectory. The European Central Bank is also widely expected to deliver a rate increase this week.

Technical Triggers    

  • Gold is currently trading at deeply oversold levels near the critical support zone of $4,300 (approximately Rs. 1,54,000). A technical rebound of 3–4% is anticipated from current levels, driven by bottom-fishing activity. However, a sustained break below this support would shift the near-term bias decisively lower, exposing the $4,000–$4,100 range (approximately Rs. 1,50,000–Rs. 1,51,500) as the next downside target.
  • Silver is similarly oversold, testing key support in the $66–$67 range (approximately Rs. 2,40,000–Rs. 2,42,000). As with gold, a 3–4% technical recovery is the base case on dip-buying, but a confirmed sustainability below this support would accelerate selling pressure toward $60 (approximately Rs. 2,20,000) in the short term.

Support and Resistance

International Gold Support Level
International Gold Resistance Level 
Domestic Gold Support Level
Domestic Gold Resistance Level
: $4300/oz
: $4500/oz
: Rs 154,000/10 gm
: Rs 160,000/10 gm
International Silver Support Level
International Silver Resistance Level  
Domestic Silver Support Level
Domestic Silver Resistance Level
: $66/oz
: $75/oz  
: Rs 240,000/kg
: Rs 260,000/kg

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