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 Precious Metals retrace from record highs on profit-booking AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Precious metals have reversed as support from growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East is offset by a stronger dollar overall and the possibility of fewer interest rate reductions from the US.
  • Israel struck Iran’s nuclear sites on Thursday, while Iran attacked Israel with missiles and drones, including attacking an Israeli hospital overnight, escalating the Middle East crisis. Neither party has shown a plan to leave.
  • President Donald Trump will put pressure on Tehran to engage in negotiations as he decides in the next two weeks whether the United States will intervene in the Israel-Iran air confrontation.
  • Meanwhile, Trump restated his demands that interest rates be lowered by the Federal Reserve, stating that they should be 250bps lower.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold prices are consolidating around record-high levels in the range of $3360(~Rs 99000) and $3475(~Rs 101,000).
  • Silver prices have retraced from its high, next support is $35.50 (~Rs 105,300). Prices should sustain this support for the bull trend to continue. If this support is broken, the next downside level is $34.50 (~Rs 104,000).

Support and Resistance

MetalRegionSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3300/oz$3500/oz
IndianRs 96000/10 gmRs 101000/10 gm
SilverInternational$36/oz$38/oz
IndianRs 105000/kgRs 112000/kg

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International News

Silver retreats Rs 9000/kg from its record high AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Prices of gold and silver fell as the US dollar appreciated and investors profited from the announcement that Israel and Hamas had reached an agreement on the first stage of a ceasefire plan.
  • Federal Reserve officials agreed that the dangers to the U.S. labour market were significant enough to justify a rate cut, but they remained cautious due to persistent inflation, according to minutes of the U.S. central bank’s September meeting that were made public on Wednesday.
  • Due to political unrest in France and Japan, as well as the ongoing government shutdown in the United States, markets have struggled this week. As a result, investors have turned to gold for safety.

Technical Triggers 

  • As the gold prices fell more than $100, volatility is very high. If gold futures sustain below yesterday’s low of $3958 (~Rs 120,200), we can say, top has been made, and a correction will follow for at least 4-5%.
  • Silver achieved the target of $50 (~Rs 153,000). And then prices retreated by almost Rs 9000 from their high in volatile momentum. Yesterday’s low of $46.90 (~Rs 145,000) is a very strong support. If Silver futures sustain below this level, we could see more correction or profit booking by at least 4-5%.

Support and Resistance

MetalMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3850/oz$4100/oz
GoldIndian₹117,000/10 gm₹124,000/10 gm
SilverInternational$47/oz$50/oz
SilverIndian₹145,000/kg₹150,000/kg

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