International News
Precious Metals retrace as Trump announces Iran-Israel ceasefire AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- A truce agreement between Israel and Iran reduced the metal’s appeal as a safe-haven, causing gold to drop to about $3350. President Donald Trump declared late Monday that both countries had reached an agreement on a full ceasefire, with Iran initiating the truce right away and Israel following 12 hours later.
- Trump’s remarks followed Iran’s symbolic reprisal against a US military base in Qatar, of which no injuries were recorded.
- In the meantime, investors are keeping a tight eye on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who will appear before the US Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday, for any clues about the direction of interest rates going forward.
Technical Triggers
- This week, gold prices are anticipated to fluctuate between $3320 (~Rs 97000) and $3420 (~Rs 100,000); a breakout or a breakdown will provide a 2-3% rise or fall.
- Silver prices have retraced from their high; the next support is $35.50 (~Rs 105,300). Prices should sustain this support for the bull trend to continue. If this support is broken, the next downside level is $34.50 (~Rs 104,000). On the upside, prices can rise to $36.75 (~Rs 107,500).
Support and Resistance
| Category | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| 🌍 International Gold | $3,320 / oz | $3,420 / oz |
| 🇮🇳 Indian Gold | ₹97,000 / 10 gm | ₹100,000 / 10 gm |
| 🌍 International Silver | $35.50 / oz | $36.75 / oz |
| 🇮🇳 Indian Silver | ₹105,000 / kg | ₹107,500 / kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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