International News
Precious metals rebound on safe-haven demand AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold and silver rebounded due to safe-haven demand, while investors awaited the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy meeting and the U.S. jobs report, which could provide additional insight into the central bank’s interest rate trajectory.
- Investors are currently waiting for the September non-farm payrolls report, which will be issued on Thursday after being postponed because of the recent U.S. government shutdown, and the minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting, which are scheduled to be released later in the day.
- Expectations for additional rate reduction from the Federal Reserve were also bolstered by signs of a worsening US job market. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that companies are talking more about layoffs as they get ready for softer demand and possible productivity improvements from artificial intelligence.
- The likelihood of a 25 bps cut in December is now just about 47% priced into the markets, compared to over 90% a month ago.
Technical Triggers
- Gold has broken an important support of $4050; the next target support is $3950 (~Rs 120,000).
- Silver has broken the important support of $50, the next target support level is around $48.5(~Rs 150,000) and $47(~Rs 145,000).
Support and Resistance
| Category | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $3950/oz | $4050/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹120,000/10 gm | ₹122,000/10 gm |
| International Silver | $52/oz | $50.5/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹150,000/kg | ₹153,500/kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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