International News
Precious metals inches closer to peak on rising geopolitical tensions AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Safe-Haven Demand Surges Amid Venezuela Unrest and Cooling U.S. Manufacturing; Gold Clears $4,450 Resistance as Silver Tests Double Top at $82.6.
Precious metal prices are currently being bolstered by a surge in safe-haven demand, driven by heightened geopolitical instability following recent events in Venezuela and growing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Economic sentiment has softened after U.S. manufacturing activity fell more than anticipated in December, hitting a 14-month low.
Concerns regarding the labor market have further intensified this outlook; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari warned that the unemployment rate could “pop” higher, just as market participants prepare for Friday’s employment data, which is projected to show a modest decline in job growth to 60,000. Against this backdrop of economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions remain high as Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro appeared in a New York court on Monday, pleading not guilty to charges of narco-terrorism and the possession of destructive devices.

From a technical perspective, gold prices have successfully rebounded from the $4,300 level and cleared a key resistance point at $4,450 (approximately Rs 138,000), shifting the focus toward upcoming resistance targets at $4,550 (Rs 140,000) and $4,600 (Rs 141,000).

Meanwhile, silver prices have reached their previous peak of $82.6 (approximately Rs 260,000), resulting in a double top formation that may trigger some short-term profit booking; however, if silver manages to break above this previous high, the next significant levels to watch are $84 (Rs 266,000) and $88.5 (Rs 280,000).
International News
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Poland remained be the top buyer in the month (14t), while China intensified its pace of purchases: it’s t net purchase is the highest since December 2024 and extends its current buying run to 18 consecutive months. The Czech Republic shows similar consistency in purchases, having bought 3t in April, its 38th consecutive monthly purchase. Meanwhile, Russia continues its sales streak this month (6t), with y-t-d sales of 22t.
Reported activity in April and y-t-d was concentrated in:
- National Bank of Poland drove much of April’s buying activity, having bought 14t. This brings Poland’s y-t-d gold purchases to 45t with its gold reserves at 595t or about 30% of its total reserves.
- People’s Bank of China added 8t to its gold reserves during the month, highest since December 2024. Official gold reserves now stand at 9% of total reserves or around 2,322t. China has been consistently purchasing gold over the past 18 consecutive months.
- Czech National Bank’s modest but consistent 2t net purchases in April brings its gold reserves to 79t or 6% of its total reserves.
- Meanwhile, Central Bank of Uzbekistan sold 1t this month, though on a y-t-d basis, it remains a net purchaser (24t) and is second only to Poland. Uzbekistan’s reserves make up 88% of its total reserves or around 414t.
- Central Bank of Russia continued it recent streak of net sales for the fourth month with reported April net sales of 6t.
- March’s top seller, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey reported virtually flat gold reserves in April, with weekly data showing that short-term gold/USD swaps matured in April, leaving only longer-term (1-3 month) gold/USD swaps outstanding. More on Turkey’s recent reserve management operations can be found in our recently published Gold Demand Trends Q1 2026.
- Eastern European and Asian central banks continue to dominate gold purchases with consistent purchases. Over the past 36 months, both regions have purchased 12t and 11t per month on average collectively. Global central banks activity shows average net purchases of 29t over the same period
Ninth Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey 2026 will be released in June and will provide the latest insights into the central banking community’s strategic views on gold as a reserve asset. In our survey in 2025, central banks held favourable expectations on gold with 95% of respondents indicating that global central bank gold reserves will increase over the next 12 months, this is compared to 81% of respondents indicating the same in our 2024 survey. 43% of respondents believe that their own gold reserves will also increase over the same period in 2025, compared to 29% of respondents in our survey in 2024.
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