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Precious metals are dancing to the tunes of rate cut bets AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
  • Gold and silver prices rebounded after dovish remarks from Fed governors rekindled hopes of a U.S. rate cut in December, reaching their highest level in over a week despite a strong dollar.
  • Fed Governor Christopher Waller yesterday that the employment market is bad enough to justify another quarter-point rate decrease in December, but further action would rely on an impending flood of data that has been delayed by the government shutdown.
  • Waller’s remarks follow New York Fed President John Williams‘ Friday prediction that U.S. interest rates could decline “in the near term.” According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors are now projecting an 81% chance of a Fed rate drop in December, up from 40% last week.
  • Investor attention now shifts to September retail sales and PPI data, which are due later today, as well as jobless claims on Wednesday. These data are anticipated to give investors a better understanding of the US economy’s condition and the future course of Fed interest rates.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold has been trading in the range of $4000 (~Rs 121,000) and $4200 (~Rs 127,000). Buy on dips around support and sell on rallies around resistance.
  • Silver has been trading in the range of $49 (~Rs 150,000) to $53 (~Rs 160,000). Buy on dips around support and sell on rallies around resistance.

Support and Resistance

CategorySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$4000/oz$4200/oz
Indian Gold₹121,000 / 10 gm₹127,000 / 10 gm
International Silver$49/oz$53/oz
Indian Silver₹150,000 / kg₹160,000 / kg
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International News

GJEPC Auckland Visit Targets Growth In India-NZ Jewellery Trade

The Opportunity In New Zealand Is Significant Relative To The Current Level Of Jewellery Trade. India’s Gem and Jewellery Exports To New Zealand Rose 50.56% To US$25.46 Million In FY2025-26, From US$16.91 Million In FY2024-25.

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The GJEPC trade delegation’s Auckland programme has highlighted the scope for expanding India’s gem and jewellery exports to New Zealand as the two countries move towards implementing their recently concluded Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

The Auckland visit was part of GJEPC’s Australia and New Zealand trade delegation, held from 20-26 August 2026, with the delegation focused on connecting Indian manufacturers and exporters with buyers and industry stakeholders across the two markets.

The opportunity in New Zealand is significant relative to the current level of jewellery trade. India’s gem and jewellery exports to New Zealand rose 50.56% to US$25.46 million in FY2025-26, from US$16.91 million in FY2024-25.

The recently concluded India-New Zealand FTA is expected to create further opportunities for Indian exporters. New Zealand has committed to duty-free access for Indian exports across 100% of its tariff lines once the agreement enters into force.

On 26th August, Vijay Mangukiya, Convener – International Events, GJEPC and leader of the delegation, met Dr. Madan Mohan Sethi, Consul General of India in Auckland. Mangukiya has said the delegation was aimed at bringing Indian manufacturers and exporters closer to buyers and industry stakeholders in both Australia and New Zealand, with the objective of identifying new business opportunities and developing long-term partnerships.

The delegation’s Auckland market visits covered a broad cross-section of the local jewellery sector, including Michael Hill, Wallace Bishop, Hardy Brothers, Prouds, and Partridge Jewellers. The delegation also observed international luxury and contemporary jewellery brands including Van Cleef & Arpels, Roberto Coin, Messika and FOPE, reflecting the competitive environment in which Indian exporters would be seeking to establish or expand relationships.

India’s exports of individual jewellery categories to New Zealand also recorded strong growth in FY2025-26. Gold jewellery exports rose 84% to US$17.47 million, while silver jewellery exports doubled to US$0.91 million. Lab-grown diamond exports rose 2% to US$0.63 million, and imitation jewellery increased 13.16% to US$0.43 million. Cut and polished diamond exports were US$5.76 million.

The figures underline the growing contribution of finished jewellery to India’s New Zealand business. With the FTA expected to improve market access and the Auckland market showing demand across gold, diamonds, coloured stones, pearls and branded jewellery, GJEPC’s delegation is seeking to convert this existing growth into deeper commercial relationships.

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