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Middle East Conflict Halts Global Diamond Trade in Dubai and Israel

Market instability and airspace closures force major rough-diamond tenders to postpone as trading hubs enter emergency mode.

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A sharp escalation in the conflict between Iran and Israel has sent shockwaves through the global gemstone industry, effectively paralyzing trade in the world’s most vital diamond corridors. Following a weekend of military strikes that impacted both Israel and the United Arab Emirates, major auction houses and exchanges have moved to suspend operations indefinitely.

Dubai Tenders Postponed as Airspace Closes

The city of Dubai, which serves as the primary transit point for over 70% of the world’s rough diamonds, has seen its trading calendar dismantled by regional instability.

  • Tender Delays: Leading rough-diamond firms Koin International and Trans-Atlantic Gem Sales (TAGS) have officially postponed their upcoming March tenders. Koin, originally scheduled for March 3–5, has pushed its sale to March 9–11, citing flight cancellations and safety concerns.
  • DMCC Emergency Protocols: The Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) has transitioned to remote working as it monitors the security situation. Global traders from hubs like Surat and Mumbai have reportedly cancelled all travel to the emirate, fearing a prolonged “supply crunch” for the polishing industry.

Israel Diamond Exchange Switches to ‘Emergency Mode’

In Israel, the Israel Diamond Exchange (IDE) in Ramat Gan has implemented strict emergency measures.

  • Trading Floor Closure: The bustling central trading floor has been shut down to ensure the safety of members and international visitors.
  • Restricted Access: The exchange complex is operating on a “critical-only” basis, with all non-essential services halted until further notice.

Broader Economic Impact

The disruption comes at a time of extreme volatility for precious commodities. Spot gold prices have already surged by nearly 2%, hitting four-week highs as investors flee to safe-haven assets. With UAE airspace restricted and maritime routes through the Strait of Hormuz under threat, the $50 billion annual flow of gems and gold is facing its most severe logistical hurdle in decades.

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International News

World Silver Survey 2026: A Transformative Era For The Silver Market, Characterized By Extreme Price Volatility

Landmark Year Where Supply-Demand Imbalances Finally Triggered Explosive Price Action

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The World Silver Survey 2026 details a transformative era for the silver market, characterized by extreme price volatility, a shifting industrial landscape, and a definitive end to the era of “unlimited liquidity.” After years of structural deficits, 2025 emerged as a landmark year where supply-demand imbalances finally triggered explosive price action.

Price Performance and Market Dynamics

Silver witnessed a spectacular ascent in 2025, surging from under $29/oz to a December peak of $84/oz. This momentum culminated in an all-time record of $121.60/oz in January 2026, before a hawkish Federal Reserve pivot and geopolitical conflict in Iran induced a sharp correction. Despite this volatility, the gold-to-silver ratio compressed significantly, reaching a decade-low of 55:1 by late 2025, signaling silver’s outperformance relative to gold.

Supply: Record Margins and Recycling

Global mine production rose 3% to 846.6 Moz in 2025. Growth was fueled by high-grade ramp-ups in Chile, Peru, and Russia, offsetting a 5% decline in Mexico caused by regulatory shifts and falling grades. Notably, primary silver mines now account for only 26% of global supply, leaving the market increasingly dependent on by-product output from copper and gold operations.

While production rose, the real story lay in profitability. Record gold prices boosted by-product credits, driving silver miners’ All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) down to $12.21/oz. This created a staggering 75% increase in profit margins, with nearly the entire primary silver sector remaining profitable. Additionally, recycling hit a 13-year high of 197.6 Moz, though refinery bottlenecks limited its full impact.

Demand: A Tale of Two Sectors

For the first time since the pandemic, total silver demand contracted by 2% to 1,130.6 Moz. This was driven by two main factors:

  • Industrial Thrifting: Industrial demand fell 3%, primarily due to the solar industry. As silver costs spiked to 20% of cell manufacturing costs, manufacturers accelerated “thrifting” technologies, reducing silver loading in photovoltaic (PV) cells.
  • Price Sensitivity: High prices crushed jewelry and silverware demand, particularly in India, where fabrication dropped 20%.

Conversely, physical investment remained robust. Demand for coins and bars rose 14%, led by a massive 33% surge in India and a doubling of investment demand in China.

The Liquidity Squeeze and 2026 Outlook

A critical theme of the report is the structural fragility of inventories. In October 2025, a convergence of ETP inflows and physical demand led to a liquidity squeeze in London, sending overnight lease rates to 200%. With London’s non-ETP stocks hitting record lows, the market proved it no longer has a “buffer” for sudden demand spikes.

Looking ahead to 2026, Metals Focus projects a sixth consecutive deficit of 46.3 Moz. While industrial and jewelry demand may continue to soften under price pressure, silver’s new status as a U.S. Critical Mineral and its growing role in AI data centers provide a strong floor. The market remains in a state of “permanent deficit,” where cumulative shortfalls (totaling 716 Moz over five years) ensure that silver remains a high-stakes, strategically vital asset.

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