International News
MCX Gold at fresh high; Trump tariffs drives gold prices to record high
MCX Gold prices rose to a fresh record high in the morning session on Tuesday, February 11, supported by concerns over US President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies. MCX Gold for April 4 contracts jumped to a record high of ₹86,360 per 10 grams. Around 11:35 AM, the yellow metal was 0.12 per cent up at ₹85,923 per 10 grams on the MCX.
International gold prices topped the key $2,900 level for the first time, driven by safe-haven demand amid heightened concerns over a trade war. Comex Gold jumped to a record high of 2,968.50 level.
Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff on steel and aluminium imports on Monday, stoking fears of a trade war. Geopolitical uncertainty and aggressive buying by central banks have boosted gold prices of late.
International News
Geopolitical Ceasefire and Fed Signals Shape Gold and Silver Outlook AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Safe-Haven Dynamics – Gold is consolidating around $4750 and Silver around $78, recouping some losses from the previous session after President Trump’s unilateral announcement extending the ceasefire with Iran. However, a second round of peace talks has broken down. It remains unclear whether Iran or U.S. ally Israel will formally accept the extended ceasefire, which entered its third week, introducing continued uncertainty into safe-haven demand.
- Geopolitical Developments – Trump indicated further military action would be paused pending a new Iranian proposal and the completion of negotiations. Separately, Vice President JD Vance scrapped a scheduled visit to Islamabad after Iran conveyed through Pakistan its refusal to participate in the proposed talks. Iran additionally maintained that the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed as long as the U.S. Navy continues intercepting vessels in the region, sustaining a key supply-chain risk factor.
- Macro-economic Signals – Precious metal price action continues to be driven primarily by ceasefire-related headlines and broader liquidity conditions. The ceasefire extension has led markets to interpret the situation as a partial de-escalation, reducing immediate crisis premiums. Additional downward pressure on metals emerged from the Senate confirmation hearing of Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh, whose commitment to institutional independence signaled a potentially hawkish policy posture going forward.
Technical Triggers
- Gold is trading in the range of $4650 (~ Rs 151,500) and $4850 (~Rs 155,000) over the past few days. Either a breakout or breakdown will give a 3-4% directional move.
- Silver is trading in the range of $76 (~ Rs 242,500) and $81 (~Rs 257,000) over the past few days. Either a breakout or breakdown from this band will give a 3-4% price swing.
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $4600/oz : $5000/oz : Rs 153,000/10 gm : Rs 160,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $75/oz : $82/oz : Rs 240,000/kg : Rs 260,000/kg |
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