International News
Hopes for New Government data lifts precious metals prices AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold and Silver continued to rise, reaching a close to three-week high, supported by indications that the U.S. government shutdown was coming to an end and rising anticipation of another December interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
- Late on Monday, the U.S. Senate ended the longest shutdown with a compromise that would return federal funds to the United States. It would include three full-year appropriations measures and would finance the government until January 30 if the Senate passes the bill. It would then need to be approved by the House of Representatives and sent to President Donald Trump, a process that might take several days.
- Amid concerns about the economic consequences of the longest-ever U.S. government shutdown, consumer sentiment in the United States declined to a 3-1/2-year low in early November.
Technical Triggers
- Gold prices have achieved the target of $4150 (~Rs 125,000). Prices are expected to consolidate here for a while, before moving higher.
- Silver prices have achieved the target of $50.80 (~Rs 155,000). Prices are expected to consolidate here for a while, before moving higher.
Support and Resistance
| Category | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|
| International Gold | $4000/oz | $4200/oz |
| Indian Gold | ₹122,000/10 gm | ₹126,000/10 gm |
| International Silver | $48/oz | $51/oz |
| Indian Silver | ₹149,000/kg | ₹156,000/kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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