National News
GST raids were untimely and intended to disrupt the Onam trade: AKGSMA
The All Kerala Gold and Silver Merchants Association State President K. Surendran and General Secretary Adv. S. Abdul Nazar alleged that the recent GST raids on the gold trading sector were untimely and intended to disrupt the Onam trade.
They pointed out that even a newly opened gold trading shop was raided and humiliated last week, while the inspections revealed only a nominal excess weight of gold. They added that projecting minor findings as tax evasion worth crores was nothing but an exaggeration, aimed at crippling the gold trading sector.
The leaders demanded that the details of the inspections, which involved nearly 200 officials, be made public along with accurate figures. They further urged that, at a time when trade has already declined due to rising gold prices, policies that further weaken the existing business should not be pursued. AKGSMA also called upon the government to disclose the annual turnover and tax revenue generated from the gold trading sector.
National News
Gold loan NBFC stocks face pressure as gold prices decline
Gold loan NBFC stocks faced pressure as gold prices crashed, with Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance dropping 3% and 1.45%. Despite recent declines, both stocks show solid year-to-date gains of around 49% and 50%, respectively. Shares of Muthoot Finance slipped 4.29 percent to Rs 3,134.20 apiece on the NSE. The stock has declined for three straight sessions, losing nearly 6 percent during the period. Manappuram Finance also fell 2.8 percent to Rs 277.90 per share.
Gold prices eased for the third consecutive day as investors booked profits after a recent rally. Globally, the metal edged lower towards the $4,000-an-ounce mark amid concerns that its sharp gains had become overstretched. Weakness in gold prices typically weighs on gold financing companies as the value of collateral declines, impacting loan margins. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure.
Gold loan NBFC stocks are facing pressure as gold prices have declined for three consecutive days. Muthoot Finance dropped 4.29% to Rs 3,134.20, losing nearly 6% over three sessions, while Manappuram Finance fell 2.8% to Rs 277.90. This decline comes as investors booked profits after gold’s recent rally toward the $4,000-an-ounce mark, with concerns that prices had become overstretched.
The connection between falling gold prices and these stocks is straightforward. Gold loan NBFCs lend money using gold jewelry as collateral, typically advancing around 75% of the gold’s value. When gold prices fall, the collateral backing their existing loans becomes less valuable, which squeezes their safety margins and creates potential risks. They may need to ask borrowers for additional collateral or close out some positions if the loan-to-value ratios become unfavorable.
Beyond the immediate risk concerns, falling gold prices also hurt the growth prospects of these companies. Lower prices mean they can only disburse smaller loans against the same quantity of gold, which directly impacts their ability to grow their loan books. Additionally, customers become hesitant to pledge their gold when prices are declining, preferring to wait for better valuations. This combination reduces both the size and volume of new loans.
However, the recent decline needs to be viewed in context. Despite the current pressure, both Muthoot Finance and Manappuram Finance are still showing impressive year-to-date gains of around 49-50%. This means the recent weakness represents a modest correction within a much larger uptrend. The stocks have performed exceptionally well throughout the year, and this pullback follows a period of strong gains.
Looking ahead, the key question is whether gold prices will stabilize or continue declining. Short-term challenges include potential slowdowns in loan disbursements and temporary margin pressure. However, gold loan NBFCs have weathered gold price volatility before, and their business model remains fundamentally sound with typically low non-performing assets. India’s deep cultural connection to gold ensures sustained demand for gold-backed financing regardless of short-term price movements. For investors, this situation could represent either a buying opportunity or a warning sign, depending on their view of gold’s longer-term trajectory.
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