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Gold plummeted to $3150, poised to fall $100 more: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • As global trade tensions eased, demand for safe-haven assets declined, causing gold to drop 2% and hit a low of over five weeks.
  • President Trump cited ongoing talks with South Korea, Japan, and India, while the US and China agreed to drastically reduce tariffs and launched a 90-day truce to conclude a larger deal.
  • As tensions between India and Pakistan stabilised and hopes that Trump would waive sanctions on Syria during his Middle East visit increased, geopolitical risks also decreased.
  • In the meantime, lower-than-expected US inflation figures bolstered anticipations of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which are generally favourable for non-yielding assets.
  • For more hints about the monetary policy outlook, traders are now waiting for US PPI and retail sales data.

Technical Triggers

MetalRegionSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3050/oz$3260/oz
Indian₹92,000 / 10 gm₹94,000 / 10 gm
SilverInternational$31.5/oz$33.5/oz
Indian₹93,500 / kg₹97,500 / kg

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International News

Precious Metals zoom ato record high ahead of FOMC meet AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Around $3728 (~Rs 110,300) for gold futures and $43.23 (~Rs 129,7000) for silver, both markets were trading close to a record high ahead of the US FED’s two-day policy meeting that begins today.
  • The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, the first since December, and markets are almost certain that the easing cycle will continue into the following year. Recap: Despite the president’s dismissal, the federal appeals court permits Lisa Cook to remain as a Fed gov and take part in the FOMC meeting beginning tomorrow.
  • For clues about the direction of future policy, all eyes will be on the Fed’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections, which includes the much-awaited dot plot, and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Regarding the data, reports on industrial production and retail sales that are anticipated later today will be closely examined to gain more understanding of how strong the economy is.

Technical Triggers 

  • Gold Dec Futures has given a breakout above $3700 (~Rs 110,000), the next target would be $3800 (~Rs 113,500). If prices top out and fall below $3650 (~Rs 108,500), then only we could see further profit booking.
  • Silver Nov Future prices have given a breakout above its consolidation range of $41 (~Rs 123,000) and $42 (~Rs 126,000) for the past few days and achieved the target of $43. This rally has more room for upside towards $45 (~Rs 140,000)

Support and Resistance

CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3650/oz$3800/oz
Indian₹108,500/10 gm₹113,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$42.5/oz$45/oz
Indian₹127,000/kg₹140,000/kg

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