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Gold near fresh all-time highs ahead of US trading session

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Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is seeing gains tick up trading near $2,952 at the time of writing, fueled by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and softening US yields in a reaction to the recent German federal election outcome. Although the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained 20% of votes, the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is comfortable in the lead with 208 seats against AfD’s 152. US yields dropped off and the CME Federal Reserve (Fed) Futures are now favoring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in June, where last week odds were rather for no rate cut in June.

Meanwhile, traders will watch the US Gross Domestic Product (GBP) release for the fourth quarter of 2024 later this week. Given the recent slowdown in US activity and economic data (for example, the softer Services Purchase Managers Index (PMI) reading on Friday), another drop in US yields could be triggered, with markets anticipating the Federal Reserve lowering its monetary policy rate to boost the economy and demand. The US dollar weakened after several reports and economic data points last week revealed that US business activity slowed and consumer confidence waned, with expectations for inflation surging and markets pricing in more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

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US Midterm Elections: Gold, Silver Prices Surge As Democrats Take Control Of Congress

Democratic Win In Congress Creates Financial Support For Gold Because It Puts Downward Pressure On The U.S. Dollar and Interest Rates

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​Gold and silver prices jumped on Wednesday as election results pointed to major victories for the Democratic Party in the U.S. midterm elections.

​This continues a strong trend from 2025, a year in which gold prices rose by 66% and silver prices surged by 135%.

​Gold: Rose 3.4% to reach $4,073 per ounce.

​Silver: Rose 5.1% to reach $52.28 per ounce.

​The main driver was the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections. As votes were counted, projections showed that Democrats won control of the House of Representatives and took over several state governor positions.

​Here is how other major financial markets reacted to the news:

​U.S. Stocks: Rose as political uncertainty decreased.

​U.S. Dollar: Fell by about 0.3%.

​Treasury Yields (Interest Rates): Moved lower.

​Oil Prices: Went down.

Democratic win in Congress creates financial support for gold because it puts downward pressure on the U.S. dollar and interest rates.

A divided government often leads to political arguments over government budgets, creating economic uncertainty. At the same time, global issues like the war involving Iran and a weaker U.S. dollar are competing against the Federal Reserve’s effort to raise interest rates.

​In short, less government spending usually means lower long-term interest rates and a weaker dollar, which makes precious metals like gold and silver more attractive to investors.

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