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Gold near fresh all-time highs ahead of US trading session

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Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is seeing gains tick up trading near $2,952 at the time of writing, fueled by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and softening US yields in a reaction to the recent German federal election outcome. Although the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained 20% of votes, the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is comfortable in the lead with 208 seats against AfD’s 152. US yields dropped off and the CME Federal Reserve (Fed) Futures are now favoring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in June, where last week odds were rather for no rate cut in June.

Meanwhile, traders will watch the US Gross Domestic Product (GBP) release for the fourth quarter of 2024 later this week. Given the recent slowdown in US activity and economic data (for example, the softer Services Purchase Managers Index (PMI) reading on Friday), another drop in US yields could be triggered, with markets anticipating the Federal Reserve lowering its monetary policy rate to boost the economy and demand. The US dollar weakened after several reports and economic data points last week revealed that US business activity slowed and consumer confidence waned, with expectations for inflation surging and markets pricing in more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

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De Beers Narrowed Losses In H1 2026 Despite A Sharp Decline In Rough Diamond Prices

The decline reflected significantly lower realised rough diamond prices, although underlying operating performance improved. higher production, increased sales volumes and aggressive cost-cutting helped offset weaker pricing.

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De Beers narrowed its losses in the first half of 2026 despite a sharp decline in rough diamond prices, as higher production, increased sales volumes and aggressive cost-cutting helped offset weaker pricing.

Revenue fell 19% to US$1.58 billion in the six months that ended 30 June 2026, from US$1.95 billion a year earlier. The decline reflected significantly lower realised rough diamond prices, although underlying operating performance improved.

Underlying EBITDA loss narrowed to US$113 million from US$189 million in the first half of 2025, while the underlying EBIT loss improved to US$209 million, compared with US$303 million a year earlier. EBITDA margin improved to -7% from -10%.

The average realised rough diamond price fell 32% to US$105 per carat, driven by a weaker product mix and a 16% decline in the average rough price index following inventory rebalancing measures introduced during 2025.

However, De Beers increased production by 46% to 14.9 million carats, while sales volumes rose 13% to 12.4 million carats, reflecting improved availability and stronger trading activity than in the comparable period. Unit costs declined 26% to US$64 per carat, helping cushion the impact of lower prices. Capital expenditure was reduced by a third to US$115 million.

During the second quarter, De Beers sold 6 million carats of rough diamonds, generating US$665 million in consolidated revenue, compared with US$1.2 billion from 6.8 million carats in the same period last year, underscoring the continued pressure on prices despite relatively stable demand.

The company maintained its 2026 production guidance at 21-26 million carats, although planned maintenance at the Orapa and Jwaneng mines and the proposed production pause at the Venetia mine in South Africa are expected to reduce output in the second half. Unit cost guidance remains unchanged at around US$80 per carat.

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