International News
Gold near fresh all-time highs ahead of US trading session
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is seeing gains tick up trading near $2,952 at the time of writing, fueled by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and softening US yields in a reaction to the recent German federal election outcome. Although the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained 20% of votes, the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is comfortable in the lead with 208 seats against AfD’s 152. US yields dropped off and the CME Federal Reserve (Fed) Futures are now favoring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in June, where last week odds were rather for no rate cut in June.
Meanwhile, traders will watch the US Gross Domestic Product (GBP) release for the fourth quarter of 2024 later this week. Given the recent slowdown in US activity and economic data (for example, the softer Services Purchase Managers Index (PMI) reading on Friday), another drop in US yields could be triggered, with markets anticipating the Federal Reserve lowering its monetary policy rate to boost the economy and demand. The US dollar weakened after several reports and economic data points last week revealed that US business activity slowed and consumer confidence waned, with expectations for inflation surging and markets pricing in more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
International News
Gold moves up on softer dollar and safe-haven demand; Silver, platinum reach three-week highs
Gold edged higher today, supported by a softer dollar and safe-haven demand. Key events include US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva and upcoming US jobless claims data. Silver, platinum, and palladium reached three-week highs on Wednesday amid geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainty.
Spot gold rose 0.5% to $5,195.99 per ounce early Thursday after reaching a three-week high on Tuesday, while US April gold futures dipped 0.2% to $5,213.50. Silver, platinum, and palladium hit three-week peaks on Wednesday, driven by safe-haven buying; platinum reached around $2,307 per ounce, and palladium $1,828, amid supply concerns and tariff risks. Analysts noted re-pricing due to policy uncertainty and a subdued US dollar.
A softer US dollar boosted non-yielding metals like gold. Geopolitical risks from US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva, focused on uranium enrichment, heightened safe-haven demand, with increased US military presence adding tension. Uncertainty over US tariff policies under President Trump, following court rulings and potential hikes to 15%, fueled volatility across precious metals.
Precious metals face upside from ongoing tariff fog and Middle East tensions, though stronger US data could cap gains. Investors eye jobless claims for Fed rate clues amid elevated prices: gold up 77% yearly, platinum 135%. Indian jewellery markets, sensitive to global trends, may see volatility in silver at Rs.285/gram.
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