International News
Gold near fresh all-time highs ahead of US trading session
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is seeing gains tick up trading near $2,952 at the time of writing, fueled by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and softening US yields in a reaction to the recent German federal election outcome. Although the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) has gained 20% of votes, the Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) is comfortable in the lead with 208 seats against AfD’s 152. US yields dropped off and the CME Federal Reserve (Fed) Futures are now favoring a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in June, where last week odds were rather for no rate cut in June.
Meanwhile, traders will watch the US Gross Domestic Product (GBP) release for the fourth quarter of 2024 later this week. Given the recent slowdown in US activity and economic data (for example, the softer Services Purchase Managers Index (PMI) reading on Friday), another drop in US yields could be triggered, with markets anticipating the Federal Reserve lowering its monetary policy rate to boost the economy and demand. The US dollar weakened after several reports and economic data points last week revealed that US business activity slowed and consumer confidence waned, with expectations for inflation surging and markets pricing in more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
International News
Platinum Market Demonstrates Strong Resilience With Price Recovery
Rebound In Platinum Prices Is Primarily Attributed To Softer U.S. Dollar Sentiment and Declining Treasury Yields
Global commodities markets are observing a significant shift in precious metals, as platinum (XPL) demonstrates a robust price recovery following a stabilization period in key support zones. The asset class is currently experiencing a constructive short-term upward trajectory, heavily influenced by shifting macroeconomic indicators and evolving geopolitical dynamics.
The recent rebound in platinum prices is primarily attributed to a confluence of favorable macroeconomic factors, including softer U.S. dollar sentiment and declining Treasury yields. This capital reallocation toward precious metals has been further accelerated by a preliminary U.S.- Iran peace agreement. The geopolitical breakthrough has effectively mitigated energy inflation anxieties, providing a tailwind for industrial and precious commodities alike.
From a technical perspective, platinum has successfully established a firm baseline within the $1,650–$1,750 support corridor. Current market momentum indicates a near-term progression toward the $1,850–$1,900 resistance zone.
While current indicators support a bullish short-term structure, institutional analysts emphasize that the asset’s mid-to-long-term trajectory remains contingent upon upcoming regulatory and macroeconomic milestones.
The impending Federal Reserve policy decision serves as a critical focal point for the market. Stakeholders are advised to monitor the following primary risk factors that could impact market consolidation or trigger a breakout:
- Monetary Policy Signalling: A hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve could strengthen the U.S. dollar, potentially capping platinum’s upward momentum.
- Industrial Demand: As a dual-use asset, platinum’s long-term valuation remains closely tied to global industrial manufacturing output.
- Technical Breakouts: Sustained price action above the $1,900 threshold will be required to validate a broader macro-rally toward the next institutional target of $2,170.
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