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Gold might have topped out at $3500 in the short-term :AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Gold prices fell more than 3% yesterday after reaching $3500, and the market appears to have peaked in the short term. Markets are still digesting President Donald Trump’s softer tone on the US-China trade war, as well as his turnaround on wanting to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Wednesday that heavy tariffs between the United States and China must be decreased before trade talks can proceed, but he emphasized that President Trump will not unilaterally lower duties on Chinese imports. However, he noted that a full trade agreement could take two to three years to complete.
  • Although recession worries have subsided, the global economy has already suffered significant harm, and rebuilding trust in the United States as a dependable trade partner will take time. In this context, gold is projected to be highly supported.

Technical Triggers  

  • In the short term, gold prices are expected to trade in the range of $3270 (~Rs 94000) to $3400(~Rs 96500). The long-term technical outlook will only turn negative if we begin printing lower lows and lower highs.
  • Silver prices have given a breakout above $33(~Rs 97000), now the next target is $35 (~Rs 100,000).

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International News

Gold continues upward march;Bank of America forecasts  $5,000/oz for 2026

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Gold prices in India saw a modest rise on Wednesday today Oct 15, mirroring an uptick in international markets as renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of further US interest rate cuts bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.24k gold traded at Rs.1,28,360/10gm after gaining ₹10 in early trade, while silver prices increased by Rs.100 to Rs.1,89,100 per kilogram.

Gold prices surged to a record high of $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025.  Investors flocked to safe-haven metals amid trade tensions and Fed rate-cut expectations. U.S. December gold futures jumped 57% year-to-date.  Bank of America raised its 2026 gold forecast to $5,000 per ounce, warning of possible near-term corrections.

Gold prices soared to an unprecedented $4,179.48 per ounce on October 14, 2025, marking a historic milestone for the yellow metal. The rally comes as investors worldwide seek safety in hard assets amid a turbulent global economic backdrop marked by escalating trade tensions, slowing growth, and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve.

The sharp surge in bullion prices has been driven by a combination of macroeconomic uncertainty and aggressive monetary easing. As inflation pressures remain sticky and central banks pivot toward dovish policies, gold has reasserted its role as a hedge against both currency debasement and market volatility.

In futures trading, U.S. December gold contracts have skyrocketed nearly 57% so far this year, underscoring the strength of investor demand across both institutional and retail segments. Analysts note that central bank buying—particularly from emerging markets—has added further momentum to the rally, with several countries diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar.

Reflecting this bullish sentiment, Bank of America has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000 per ounce, citing continued monetary easing, geopolitical instability, and robust central bank accumulation. However, the bank also cautioned that short-term corrections are likely, given the rapid pace of the recent run-up and potential bouts of profit-taking.

Overall, gold’s meteoric rise underscores a broader shift toward safe-haven assets, as investors navigate a world increasingly defined by economic fragmentation, shifting interest rate cycles, and persistent geopolitical risks.

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