International News
Gold hits ten-day highs above $4,050
Gold climbs above $4,050 to a ten-day high as uncertainty over the prolonged US government shutdown, soft economic data, and a weaker dollar drive renewed safe-haven demand.
Gold extended rebound in Asian trading on Monday, briefly crossing the $4,050 psychological mark to touch a ten-day high. The yellow metal’s momentum comes as traders await clarity on the resolution of the record US government shutdown, which has heightened concerns over the broader US economy.
While gold consolidates its recent gains, risk sentiment has seen a mild improvement amid optimism about the US government reopening and China’s move to temporarily suspend its export ban on certain dual-use materials, including gallium, germanium, and antimony.
However, investors remain cautious as the amended US spending package still requires approval from the House of Representatives before reaching President Donald Trump for signing — a process that could take several days. This uncertainty, coupled with persistent economic worries stemming from the prolonged shutdown, continues to lend support to gold as a traditional safe-haven asset.
A weakened US dollar and worries over a protracted US government shutdown continue to bolster the precious metal, increasing demand for safe-haven assets. Indeed, according to the Congressional Budget Office, which is impartial, the government shutdown could reduce GDP by 1 – 2% in the fourth quarter.
As U.S. data revealed a spike in October layoffs, traders also boosted their bets on a December rate decrease, they are now putting in a 67% possibility. The government and retail sectors experienced employment losses in October, and enterprises’ use of artificial intelligence and cost-cutting measures resulted in a spike in announced layoffs. According to private data released on Thursday, cost-cutting and the deployment of AI were the main causes of the US economy’s October job loss of 153,000, the most in 22 years.
International News
Precious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
Gold Remains Under Short-term Pressure from Expectations of Fed Tightening and a Strong Dollar. However, Investor Positioning in Gold Looks Relatively Light After Months of ETF Outflows.
Price Movement – Gold has bounced back from its key support levels near $3960, and Silver has recovered from $55, after an Iranian official reportedly received a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire. The continuing US-Iran standoff has kept investors worried about energy-driven inflation and the possibility of further rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 83% chance of a US rate hike in December, up sharply from 73% just a week earlier, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
Geopolitical Tensions – Despite the Houthis announcing fresh military action, both Tehran and Washington appear keen to restart talks and stop the escalating attacks that have nearly destroyed a fragile interim agreement reached last month. A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday that mediators had proposed a 10-day ceasefire, aimed at rescuing the interim deal and eventually leading to a lasting peace agreement.
Macro-Economic Signals – Gold remains under short-term pressure from expectations of Fed tightening and a strong dollar. However, investor positioning in gold looks relatively light after months of ETF outflows, meaning further price drops may be limited. Strong physical demand, especially from China, along with continued central bank buying, is providing solid support to the gold market.
Technical Triggers
If Gold fails to hold above $4,000 (~Rs.1,41,000), it could slide further to $3,900 (~Rs.1,38,000). But if it manages to stay above $4,200, a fresh rally could take it toward $4,500 (~Rs.1,55,000).
For Silver, a strong move above $63 (~Rs.2,35,000) could push prices toward $70–71 (~Rs.2,51,000–2,55,000). On the other hand, a fall below $55 (~Rs.2,14,000) may drag it down to $50 (~Rs.2,00,000).
Support and Resistance
| International Gold Support Level International Gold Resistance Level Domestic Gold Support Level Domestic Gold Resistance Level | : $3900/oz : $4160/oz : Rs 137,000/10 gm : Rs 147,000/10 gm |
| International Silver Support Level International Silver Resistance Level Domestic Silver Support Level Domestic Silver Resistance Level | : $55/oz : $63/oz : Rs 214,000/kg : Rs 235,000/kg |
-
National News8 hours agoMCX Gold, Silver Futures For August Delivery Rise On Renewed Geopolitical Tensions
-
International News4 hours agoPrecious Metals Bounce Back As Iran Ceasefire Hopes Rise, But Fed Rate Fears Loom: AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
-
National News5 hours agoCosmos Diamonds Makes History With World’s First LGD  Jewellery  Launched Into Space
-
International News9 hours agoLondon Diamond Bourse Announces Launch Of Its New Coloured Gemstone Course

