International News
Gold goes parabolic eyeing $4400 AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- Gold is on track for its greatest week in almost 17 years, with prices touching $4392 and aiming for $4400 today. Investors were drawn to the safe-haven gold by hints of weakness in U.S. regional banks, global trade tensions, and additional rate-cut anticipation.
- Due to central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and high demand for safe assets, gold has now increased by more than 60% this year.
- China has expressed a willingness to engage in trade talks while accusing the US of causing “panic” over its rare earth mineral controls.
- She claims that the bloated valuation and unsustainable U.S. fiscal outlook continue to be obstacles for the dollar. The dollar’s popularity has waned as investors doubt American exceptionalism and policymaking.
Technical Triggers
- For gold $4500 could arrive as a sooner-than-expected target, but much may depend upon how long concerns about U.S.-China trade and the government shutdown linger over the market for.
- Silver has cleared the strong resistance at $53.50 (¬Rs 165,000), next resistance is $55 (¬Rs 170,000). While downside support is $50.50 (¬Rs 155,000), if prices sustain below that level, profit-booking can follow.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Region | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $4,090/oz | $4,500/oz |
| Gold | India | ₹1,25,000/10 gm | ₹1,35,000/10 gm |
| Silver | International | $50.50/oz | $55/oz |
| Silver | India | ₹1,55,000/kg | ₹1,70,000/kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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