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Gold goes parabolic eyeing $4400 AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Gold is on track for its greatest week in almost 17 years, with prices touching $4392 and aiming for $4400 today. Investors were drawn to the safe-haven gold by hints of weakness in U.S. regional banks, global trade tensions, and additional rate-cut anticipation.
  • Due to central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and high demand for safe assets, gold has now increased by more than 60% this year.
  • China has expressed a willingness to engage in trade talks while accusing the US of causing “panic” over its rare earth mineral controls.
  • She claims that the bloated valuation and unsustainable U.S. fiscal outlook continue to be obstacles for the dollar. The dollar’s popularity has waned as investors doubt American exceptionalism and policymaking.

Technical Triggers 

  • For gold $4500 could arrive as a sooner-than-expected target, but much may depend upon how long concerns about U.S.-China trade and the government shutdown linger over the market for.
  • Silver has cleared the strong resistance at $53.50 (¬Rs 165,000), next resistance is $55 (¬Rs 170,000). While downside support is $50.50 (¬Rs 155,000), if prices sustain below that level, profit-booking can follow.

Support and Resistance

MetalRegionSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$4,090/oz$4,500/oz
GoldIndia₹1,25,000/10 gm₹1,35,000/10 gm
SilverInternational$50.50/oz$55/oz
SilverIndia₹1,55,000/kg₹1,70,000/kg

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International News

MCX Gold, Silver Rise Despite Global Weakness; US Data, Iran Tensions Keep Bullion Markets On Edge

While Domestic Gold and Silver Prices Edged Higher On MCX, International Spot Gold Slipped Amid Uncertainty Over US-Iran Negotiations, Inflation Concerns

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Gold and silver prices witnessed mixed momentum on May 28, with domestic futures on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) trading marginally higher even as international spot gold prices remained under pressure. The divergence reflects cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, uncertainty surrounding US-Iran peace negotiations, and expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United States.

MCX gold futures for June delivery rose modestly by Rs. 215 to Rs. 1,57,898 per 10 grams, while silver futures for July delivery gained Rs. 2,000 to trade at Rs. 2,72,628 per kilogram in early trade. The domestic uptick was supported by weakness in the US dollar and cautious positioning ahead of key macroeconomic developments.

However, global spot gold prices extended losses for a second consecutive session as investors remained wary of the inflationary impact of elevated energy prices and the possibility of prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Analysts noted that fading hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran have revived concerns around oil supply disruptions, higher crude prices, and inflation risks — factors that continue to influence precious metals.

According to market experts, gold has struggled to regain strong upside momentum despite its safe-haven appeal, as rising US bond yields and a firmer dollar have reduced investor appetite for non-yielding assets like bullion. Silver, meanwhile, remained under pressure globally after recent military developments in southern Iran weakened expectations of an immediate resolution to regional tensions.

Investors are now closely watching key US macroeconomic indicators, including ADP employment figures, GDP growth data, and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. These data points are expected to offer fresh direction on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory, which remains a crucial driver for gold and silver prices.

With geopolitical risks still elevated and inflation concerns persisting, bullion markets are expected to remain volatile in the near term as traders await clearer signals on both diplomacy and monetary policy.

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