International News
Gold eases on Israel-Hamas peace plan AUGMONT BULLION REPORT
- A day after gold broke over the critical $4000 mark to reach a record high due to geopolitical and economic uncertainty and expectations of further U.S. interest rate reduction, investors booked profits, which caused gold to ease a bit.
- The first part of a peace proposal between Israel and Hamas has been agreed upon by President Donald Trump, possibly bringing an end to the two-year conflict and releasing captives. This agreement has been verified by mediator Qatar, Israeli officials, and Hamas.
- Powell is scheduled to make introductory remarks in a pre-recorded video at the Federal Reserve Board-hosted Community Bank Conference in Washington, DC, amid a data-poor US docket.
- Powell’s clues about the Fed’s interest rate strategy in the face of the impending shutdown could cause a big spike in the price of gold denominated in US dollars.
Technical Triggers
- As the bull run continues, the gold rally, which has reached $4081 (~Rs 123,450), can show more upward spikes towards $4150(~Rs 125,000), but one needs to be very cautious at this level. On the other hand, if Gold falls below $3950 (~Rs 120,000), we can say, top has been made, and a correction will follow.
Support and Resistance
| Metal | Region | Support Level | Resistance Level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | International | $3850/oz | $4150/oz |
| Indian | ₹117,000 / 10 gm | ₹125,000 / 10 gm | |
| Silver | International | $46.50/oz | $50/oz |
| Indian | ₹142,000 / kg | ₹150,000 / kg |
International News
Significant Upside Trajectory In The Metals Sector
Precious Metals Surge on Geopolitical Optimism as Gold and Silver Rally, While Crude Oil Faces Downward Pressure Amid Ongoing US–Iran Developments
Gold rates and silver rates in India will be driven by global trends, as the Indian market is closed. Trading in commodities, including gold and silver, will be closed for half a day on April 14 at MCX.
We are seeing a significant upside trajectory in the metals sector, driven by recent geopolitical synergies:
- Gold Asset Class: Spot prices have achieved a value-add recovery, scaling past the $4,760/oz threshold.
- Silver Asset Class: Currently experiencing a high-growth phase, surging approximately 2% to reach a target density near $77/oz.
- Market Bandwidth: While the MCX interface is currently undergoing a scheduled half-day service window on April 14,
- Energy Sector Headwinds
Conversely, the energy vertical is facing downward scalability issues:
- Crude Oil Index: Both US WTI and Brent Crude are failing to gain leverage, currently underperforming by 2% and hovering around the $98/bbl mark.
Geopolitical Synergy & Risk Mitigation
The recent bullish momentum in precious metals is a direct byproduct of strategic bilateral engagement between the US and Iran. Key stakeholders are currently deep-diving into negotiations to extend the current truce framework.
- US Perspective: President Trump has acknowledged a proactive outreach from Tehran following the implementation of a naval blockade.
- Iranian Alignment: President Pezeshkian has signaled readiness to move the needle on peace discussions, provided all deliverables remain within the compliance framework of international regulations.
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