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Gold continues its northward journey, supported by safe-haven appeal AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Amid worries about the independence of the Federal Reserve following President Trump’s threats to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, gold prices remained close to their two-week high due to their safety appeal.
  • At the Fed’s policy meeting next month, markets are expecting a 25 basis point rate cut, which is more than 88% likely, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
  • Markets seem to be confident that a new wave of U.S. tariffs might weaken global strength, making trade policy another crucial factor for gold. An additional factor supporting gold’s safe-haven bid could be ongoing geopolitical danger, such as Ukraine’s increased attacks on Russian energy infrastructure.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold Oct Futures are expected to continue their upside momentum towards $3485 (~Rs 102,500), if it sustains above $3445 (~Rs 101,500).
  • As Silver Sep Futures has broken its range and sustained above $38.80 (~Rs 116,000), upside momentum can swing prices towards a new high of $40 (~Rs 120,000) this week.
CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3355/oz$3485/oz
Indian₹98,500/10 gm₹100,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$37/oz$40/oz
Indian₹110,500/kg₹120,000/kg

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International News

Precious Metals Gain As Crude Prices Weaken

Slumping Crude Prices and A Weaker Greenback Offer Support To Gold and Silver, Even As Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Uncertainty Looms

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Gold and silver prices edged higher on Monday morning, finding support in a softening U.S. dollar and a sharp retreat in global energy prices after President Donald Trump announced that Washington would enter diplomatic talks with Tehran.

The prospect of a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East provided immediate relief to global markets, driving crude oil benchmarks down more than 5% to trade near $83 per barrel. The decline in energy costs helped alleviate broader fears of persistent, energy-driven inflation, while the U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.50% to 99.42—falling below the key 100 mark and making dollar-denominated bullion more attractive to international buyers.

On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery traded up 0.13% at Rs 1,43,557 per 10 grams during early deals. Silver futures for September delivery rose 0.40% to Rs 2,18,061 per kilogram.

The market shift follows statements from President Trump over the weekend indicating that discussions with Iranian officials would take place on Monday. While Mr. Trump set no firm deadline for an agreement, the move raised hopes for a resolution regarding the impasse over Iran’s nuclear ambitions and a potential agreement to guarantee safe passage through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

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