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Gold continues its northward journey, supported by safe-haven appeal AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Amid worries about the independence of the Federal Reserve following President Trump’s threats to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook, gold prices remained close to their two-week high due to their safety appeal.
  • At the Fed’s policy meeting next month, markets are expecting a 25 basis point rate cut, which is more than 88% likely, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
  • Markets seem to be confident that a new wave of U.S. tariffs might weaken global strength, making trade policy another crucial factor for gold. An additional factor supporting gold’s safe-haven bid could be ongoing geopolitical danger, such as Ukraine’s increased attacks on Russian energy infrastructure.

Technical Triggers  

  • Gold Oct Futures are expected to continue their upside momentum towards $3485 (~Rs 102,500), if it sustains above $3445 (~Rs 101,500).
  • As Silver Sep Futures has broken its range and sustained above $38.80 (~Rs 116,000), upside momentum can swing prices towards a new high of $40 (~Rs 120,000) this week.
CommodityMarketSupport LevelResistance Level
GoldInternational$3355/oz$3485/oz
Indian₹98,500/10 gm₹100,500/10 gm
SilverInternational$37/oz$40/oz
Indian₹110,500/kg₹120,000/kg

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International News

Gold prices climbed above $4,250 ahead US ISM Manufacturing PMI release

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US spot Gold prices climbed above $4,250 early Monday, touching a six-week high as investors turned cautious ahead of the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI release. The yellow metal is poised for further upside momentum if it secures a sustained daily close above the crucial $4,250 resistance level.

The US Dollar opened December on a softer note, pressured by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may announce a rate cut next week. Growing market confidence in easing monetary conditions has boosted the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

Analysts note that a decisive break and close above $4,250 could reinforce bullish sentiment and pave the way for an extended rally in the days ahead. As global markets await fresh cues from the US economic calendar, gold continues to benefit from a favorable macroeconomic backdrop and robust safe-haven demand.

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