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Gold and Silver Decline On a Strong Dollar

Navigating Volatility Between Oil Costs and Currency Strength

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The Indian bullion market took a breather this Thursday as a combination of a stronger dollar and geopolitical shifts triggered a wave of profit-taking. After reaching record heights earlier in the week, both gold and silver saw a significant pullback on the MCX. The domestic futures gold price on MCX traded 2.54 percent lower to Rs 1,49,800 per 10 grams of 24-carat purity, from the previous close. Silver edged 6 percent down to Rs 2,28,891 per kilogram. Bullion has fallen as investors rush to book profits from recent highs.

The rally lost steam as several macroeconomic factors converged to weigh down the metals:

  • Profit Booking: After gold surged to a staggering Rs 1,54,500 per 10 grams yesterday, investors were quick to lock in gains, leading to a sharp intraday correction. Currency Pressure: A firmer U.S. Dollar made dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand. Geopolitical Cool-down: Signs of de-escalation in West Asia have slightly reduced the “safe-haven” premium that usually keeps bullion prices inflated. Energy & Economy: While tightening energy supplies and rising oil prices often act as a floor for metal prices, they weren’t enough to offset today’s broad sell-off.

Outlook

Despite the current correction, the underlying market remains sensitive. While easing tensions in West Asia provides some relief, the interplay between rising oil costs and a strong dollar will continue to dictate the short-term volatility for precious metals. For now, the “rush to the exits” is the primary driver as the market stabilizes from its recent peaks.

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National News

MCX Gold Futures For June Delivery Slip , Geopolitical Uncertainty Keeps Bullion in Focus

International Bullion Markets Remained Volatile As Investors Monitored Developments In US-Iran Negotiations

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Gold and silver prices traded lower on Thursday amid easing US Treasury yields and improving global market sentiment, even as geopolitical tensions surrounding the US-Iran conflict continued to influence investor outlook. On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for June delivery slipped Rs. 206 to Rs. 1,59,800 per 10 grams, while silver contracts for July delivery fell Rs. 1,350, or 0.5%, to Rs. 2,72,915 per kilogram.

International bullion markets remained volatile as investors monitored developments in US-Iran negotiations. US President Donald Trump indicated that talks with Iran were in their “final stages” but cautioned that failure to secure an agreement could trigger renewed military action, keeping risk sentiment fragile.

Analysts said precious metal prices continue to be supported by concerns over inflation and safe-haven demand. The partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz has sustained elevated crude oil prices, fuelling worries about supply disruptions and inflationary pressures.

A softer US dollar and a pullback in Treasury yields also offered some support to bullion after recent bond market volatility. However, expectations of a hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve continue to weigh on sentiment, with policymakers signalling that further rate hikes may be considered if inflation remains above target.

Market participants are now closely watching progress in US-Iran talks, movements in crude oil prices, and upcoming manufacturing and services PMI data from major economies for further direction in bullion markets. Domestically, higher import duties on gold and silver are expected to keep demand subdued, with prices likely to remain range-bound in the near term.

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