National News
Gold and Silver Decline On a Strong Dollar
Navigating Volatility Between Oil Costs and Currency Strength
The Indian bullion market took a breather this Thursday as a combination of a stronger dollar and geopolitical shifts triggered a wave of profit-taking. After reaching record heights earlier in the week, both gold and silver saw a significant pullback on the MCX. The domestic futures gold price on MCX traded 2.54 percent lower to Rs 1,49,800 per 10 grams of 24-carat purity, from the previous close. Silver edged 6 percent down to Rs 2,28,891 per kilogram. Bullion has fallen as investors rush to book profits from recent highs.
The rally lost steam as several macroeconomic factors converged to weigh down the metals:
- Profit Booking: After gold surged to a staggering Rs 1,54,500 per 10 grams yesterday, investors were quick to lock in gains, leading to a sharp intraday correction. Currency Pressure: A firmer U.S. Dollar made dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand. Geopolitical Cool-down: Signs of de-escalation in West Asia have slightly reduced the “safe-haven” premium that usually keeps bullion prices inflated. Energy & Economy: While tightening energy supplies and rising oil prices often act as a floor for metal prices, they weren’t enough to offset today’s broad sell-off.
Outlook
Despite the current correction, the underlying market remains sensitive. While easing tensions in West Asia provides some relief, the interplay between rising oil costs and a strong dollar will continue to dictate the short-term volatility for precious metals. For now, the “rush to the exits” is the primary driver as the market stabilizes from its recent peaks.
National News
MCX Gold, Silver Move North On June US Employment Report
MCX Gold Futures Reclaimed the ₹1.48 lakh Mark
MCX Gold Futures reclaimed the Rs 1.48 lakh mark, hitting an intraday high of Rs 1,48,046 per 10 grams before stabilizing around Rs 1,47,845 (up 1.43%). Spot Gold (Global) surged by 1.5% to trade at $4,185 per ounce, rapidly closing in on the $4,200 level.
MCX Silver Futures zoomed up by Rs 4,457 or 1.91% to trade near Rs 2,37,761 per kg, after touching an intraday high of Rs 2,38,216 per kg. Spot Silver (Global) climbed more than 2.3% to trade comfortably above $62 per ounce.
The primary catalyst behind the bullish reversal was the June US employment report, which indicated a cooling US economy.
Nonfarm Payrolls: The US added just 57,000 jobs in June—the lowest hiring momentum in four months—well below the market expectation of 110,000 jobs.
Unemployment Rate: The rate edged down from 4.3% to 4.2%. However, economists noted that the decline was largely due to a weaker labour force participation rate, which fell to 61.5%, rather than stronger hiring activity.
Sectoral Shifts: Professional and business services (+36,000) and healthcare (+22,000) led job gains, while the leisure and hospitality sector recorded a sharp decline of 61,000 jobs.
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