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Future of natural diamonds challenging; holds promise of transformation: BCG report

A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market

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A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market.In an era marked by rapid changes and emerging challenges, the natural diamond industry stands at a pivotal juncture. A recent report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, sheds light on the critical factors shaping the future of the natural diamond sector. With primary diamond supply projected to decline and demand dynamics evolving, the industry is poised for a significant transformation, it notes.

The cornerstone of the natural diamond industry’s future is the anticipated decline in primary supply. The report highlights that the primary production of natural diamonds is expected to decrease by approximately 1% CAGR over the next decade. This decline is driven by the diminishing yields from ageing mines, a scarcity of new discoveries, and constrained exploration budgets over the past ten years. While there is potential for some increase through brownfield expansions, the overall outlook suggests a tightening of supply.

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International News

Precious Metals Under Pressure Despite Near-Term Rate Hold Expectations

Precious metals experienced sharp liquidation as investors sold assets to cover cash needs during broader stock market declines.

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While rising energy costs boosted oil, precious metals experienced sharp liquidation as investors sold assets to cover cash needs during broader stock market declines.

Gold: Spot gold briefly dipped below $4,000 to $3,993.96 per ounce—its lowest level since mid-July—recording a 4% weekly decline before staging a partial recovery to $4,026. In domestic retail markets in India, 24K gold edged up slightly by ₹100 to ₹1,42,580 per 10 grams following recent sharp drops.

Silver: Extended its losses to $53.50 per ounce, marking its lowest level since November 2025 due to softening industrial sentiment and a 6% drop in the prior session.

Recent U.S. consumer and producer price data showed higher-than-expected inflation, largely propelled by elevated energy costs. The rise in oil prices has reinforced expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment.

Despite the persistent inflationary pressures, markets expect the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming October 27–28 meeting.

According to a study, traders are currently pricing in less than a 10% chance of a rate hike in October, compared to an 80% probability for the December meeting. Investors are now awaiting the U.S. PCE inflation data due on October 29 for further policy guidance.

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