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Future of natural diamonds challenging; holds promise of transformation: BCG report

A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market

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A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market.In an era marked by rapid changes and emerging challenges, the natural diamond industry stands at a pivotal juncture. A recent report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, sheds light on the critical factors shaping the future of the natural diamond sector. With primary diamond supply projected to decline and demand dynamics evolving, the industry is poised for a significant transformation, it notes.

The cornerstone of the natural diamond industry’s future is the anticipated decline in primary supply. The report highlights that the primary production of natural diamonds is expected to decrease by approximately 1% CAGR over the next decade. This decline is driven by the diminishing yields from ageing mines, a scarcity of new discoveries, and constrained exploration budgets over the past ten years. While there is potential for some increase through brownfield expansions, the overall outlook suggests a tightening of supply.

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GIA, Gübelin Gem Lab Confirm Rare Tourmaline Discovery In Ethiopia

The Testing Revealed hat While The Stones Exhibit The Signature Electric Blues, Bluish-Greens, Violets, and Purples Typical Of Copper-Bearing Elbaite, Their Trace-Element Profile Is Distinct From South American and West African Counterparts.

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Two of the world’s foremost gemological authorities have verified the discovery of a significant new source of rare, copper-bearing tourmaline in Ethiopia, adding a major new supplier to one of the luxury jewelry sector’s most valuable gemstone markets.

Independent testing conducted by the Gemological Institute of America (GIA) and Switzerland-based Gübelin Gem Lab confirmed that newly circulating rough material originates from an Ethiopian deposit and qualifies as the coveted “Paraiba” variety. Historically, supply of the vivid, copper-infused gemstone has been restricted to limited deposits in Brazil, Nigeria, and Mozambique.

Reports of Ethiopian material first emerged across global trading networks in early 2026 as unrefined stones began appearing on international markets. Gübelin acquired and tested roughly 300 rough and cut specimens in May, while the GIA analyzed a parcel of more than 100 stones in July to establish origin baselines.

The testing revealed that while the stones exhibit the signature electric blues, bluish-greens, violets, and purples typical of copper-bearing elbaite, their trace-element profile is distinct from South American and West African counterparts.

Many specimens also display pronounced internal color zoning corresponding to subtle variations in chemical concentration during crystallization.

Both laboratories stated they will continue expanding their reference databases and analytical testing as commercial mining operations mature and additional Ethiopian rough enters the global supply chain.

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