International News
Future of natural diamonds challenging; holds promise of transformation: BCG report
A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market
A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market.In an era marked by rapid changes and emerging challenges, the natural diamond industry stands at a pivotal juncture. A recent report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, sheds light on the critical factors shaping the future of the natural diamond sector. With primary diamond supply projected to decline and demand dynamics evolving, the industry is poised for a significant transformation, it notes.
The cornerstone of the natural diamond industry’s future is the anticipated decline in primary supply. The report highlights that the primary production of natural diamonds is expected to decrease by approximately 1% CAGR over the next decade. This decline is driven by the diminishing yields from ageing mines, a scarcity of new discoveries, and constrained exploration budgets over the past ten years. While there is potential for some increase through brownfield expansions, the overall outlook suggests a tightening of supply.
International News
Diamond Price Gains In Sept Led By Small, High-Quality Stones
US Retail Demand Strengthened, Particularly For 1–2 Ct (F–I, VS2–SI2) and 2+ Ct Stones. Lower-Quality Smaller Goods Remain Under Pressure From Lab-Grown Diamond Competition.
Diamond prices continued their upward trajectory in September—traditionally a slow month—driven by reduced production and rising demand. Round diamonds consistently outperformed fancy shapes.
US Market & Trading Sentiment: US retail demand strengthened, particularly for 1–2 ct (F–I, VS2–SI2) and 2+ ct stones. Lower-quality smaller goods remain under pressure from lab-grown diamond competition. Holidays in the US, Belgium, Israel, and India temporarily slowed regional trading.
Trade Show Trends (Hong Kong JGW): Show results were mixed: strong demand for finished jewelry and 2+ ct natural diamonds offset weak interest from Chinese buyers and sluggish movement in smaller, low-clarity goods.
Corporate & Supply Restructuring:
- De Beers is set to acquire Mountain Province’s 49% stake in the Gahcho Kué mine under a debt-restructuring agreement.
- Anglo American’s ongoing process to sell De Beers maintains broad market uncertainty, while recent De Beers rough sights indicate cautious buying.
- Petra Diamonds is evaluating strategic options, including potential asset sales.
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