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Future of natural diamonds challenging; holds promise of transformation: BCG report

A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market

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A new report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, unveils the critical factors that will shape the future of the natural diamond market.In an era marked by rapid changes and emerging challenges, the natural diamond industry stands at a pivotal juncture. A recent report by the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), commissioned by De Beers Group, sheds light on the critical factors shaping the future of the natural diamond sector. With primary diamond supply projected to decline and demand dynamics evolving, the industry is poised for a significant transformation, it notes.

The cornerstone of the natural diamond industry’s future is the anticipated decline in primary supply. The report highlights that the primary production of natural diamonds is expected to decrease by approximately 1% CAGR over the next decade. This decline is driven by the diminishing yields from ageing mines, a scarcity of new discoveries, and constrained exploration budgets over the past ten years. While there is potential for some increase through brownfield expansions, the overall outlook suggests a tightening of supply.

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International News

Diamond Retailers Glimmer as Valentine’s Day anchors peak sales season

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 Valentine’s Day remains a vital cornerstone for the natural diamond industry, accounting for approximately 7% of annual demand in the U.S.. According to the Natural Diamond Trends: 2025 Overview Report, produced in partnership with Tenoris, the holiday serves as the final act in a high-stakes retail trilogy for specialty jewelers.

The data, which tracked over four million transactions across 2,500 retailers, identifies Valentine’s Day alongside the year-end holiday season (30%) and Mother’s Day (9%) as the three “sales anchors” that define the fiscal year. Collectively, these three periods represent 46% of all yearly diamond purchases.

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