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FED turns dovish, projecting only one rate cut in 2026 AUGMONT BULLION REPORT

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  • Despite the Federal Reserve’s dovish estimate for interest rates in 2026, gold and silver prices are trading strongly due to safe haven demand amid geopolitical instability.
  • The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, as predicted, with a 9-3 split vote. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the central bank is “well positioned to wait and see” how the economy unfolds, having eased policy by 75 basis points this year.
  • The Summary of Economic Projections displayed a “dot-plot” in which most members said that the fed funds rate for the next year would be approximately 3.4%, meaning that policymakers may slash 25 basis points in 2026. Beyond 2028, Fed policymakers expect neutral rates to be about 3%.
  • Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainties contributed to the metal’s safe-haven appeal, notably the US interception of a sanctioned ship near Venezuela and persistent uncertainty regarding the Russia-Ukraine peace process.

Technical Triggers        

  • If gold sustains below $4200 (~Rs 129,000), we are likely to see more sell off upto $4100(~Rs 124,500).
  • One could sell Silver below $62 (~Rs 192,000) for the target of $60.50 (~Rs 188,000).

Support and Resistance

CategorySupport LevelResistance Level
International Gold$4200/oz$4300/oz
Indian Gold₹129,000 / 10 gm₹131,400 / 10 gm
International Silver$60.5/oz$63.25/oz
Indian Silver₹187,000 / kg₹193,500 / kg
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International News

AGTA appeals US Government to Scrap 10% Import Tariff on Gemstones

Trade body seeks exemption for coloured gemstones under new temporary tariff regime, with potential implications for diamonds.

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The American Gem Trade Association (AGTA) has formally appealed to the US government to remove the newly imposed 10% global import tariff on gemstones, and potentially diamonds, warning of its impact on the trade.

The tariff was announced on February 20 after the US Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs issued under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In response, the administration introduced a temporary 10% import surcharge under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974. The measure will remain in effect for 150 days unless Congress votes to extend it, though further tariff mechanisms have not been ruled out.

AGTA has submitted a formal request to the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), urging that precious and semiprecious coloured gemstones be added to the exception list under Annex I or Annex II. The association argued that these stones are not mined domestically in the US and therefore should qualify for exemption.

Previously, AGTA’s lobbying efforts contributed to diamonds and gemstones being included in Annex III — a list of products eligible for potential exemption from duties for “aligned” countries. This had placed Indian diamonds and gemstones on track for relief following a prospective US-India trade agreement. However, it remains unclear whether Annex III provisions apply under the new tariff framework that recently took effect.

If the across-the-board exemption request is denied, AGTA has asked the USTR to confirm whether Annex III remains a viable pathway for country-specific tariff relief on coloured gemstones.

While the current petition focuses on coloured gemstones, AGTA noted that trade experts believe any exemption granted in this category could effectively extend to diamonds, as seen in past trade agreements such as the US–European Union deal.

“We will continue to work tirelessly toward eliminating tariffs on gemstone imports into the US. We remain fully committed to this effort — giving up is not an option,” said AGTA President Bruce Bridges and CEO John Ford.

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